Ceddy86

Descending Triangle in Natural Gas, Downside Target of 4.70

Short
Ceddy86 Updated   
CURRENCYCOM:NATURALGAS   Natural Gas
Trend Analysis
The main view of this trade idea is on the 15-Min Chart. The commodity Natural Gas is currently in a descending triangle setup with lower highs around the 5.20 and 5.08 price levels and support observed around the 4.95 price level. If the commodity breaks through the 4.95 support it can head towards the 4.70 price level. Failure of this pattern will occur if Natural Gas were to rally above 5.10.

Technical Indicators
The commodity is currently trading below is short (50-MA), medium (100-MA) and long (200-MA) fractal moving averages. There has been negative crossovers on the short and medium as well as the medium and long term moving averages. These moves are bearish indications. To corroborate these signals of upcoming declines are the RSI being below the 50 level as well as a recent negative crossover in the KST.

Recommendation
The recommendation will be to go short at market, with a stop loss at 5.10 and a target of 4.70. This produces a risk/reward ratio of 2.31.

Disclaimer
The views expressed are mine and do not represent the views of my employers and business partners. Persons acting on these recommendations are doing so at their own risk. These recommendations are not a solicitation to buy or to sell but are for purely discussion purposes.
Trade closed: stop reached

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