I mean, based on my analysis, the weekly support bullish line still holds the price and that must be a reason for it. To go back where it was in October, it doesn't difficult at all, if weekly macd turn positive - it could just happen within a week or before the beginning of March ( do not underestimate the power of natgas bull ;)). However, there are always possibilities in market - stop loss and money management is the key. Good luck and we will see if I am right :)