TophatPandaMagician

NIO - big picture view

Long
BATS:NIO   NIO Inc.
Possible count for a finished corrective at an interesting price point.

Now, the only issue here is the impulse count of the last C-wave.


There is a slight overlap between the 1 and the 4, but it is just a slight overlap and the end of the 1 there is a sizeable wick, so I would allow that.

The wave 5 here could also not be finished yet, but that's often difficult to tell on the last waves.


Still, since the overlap is there, there are secondary alternatives to consider:

The impulse isn't finished yet overall:


And if we consider this to be a 3-wave move to the downside, we could get something like this:


or even more up and down chaos like this:




Should it make new lows


There is an open gap at 4.70$ and the macro POC around 4$
Comment:
So far going according to the second image in the last update:


Volume is also dropping on the way down.

There's still a bit of air to close the gap, though it's close enough either way.

Remains to be seen, if we still get a bigger flush towards 4$ or not.
Comment:
Hit the Macro POC around the 4$ mark with declining volume towards the low as shown perviously.


Went a bit lower, but swiftly gained the Macro POC gain, with a 20%+ move from the low. Needs to hold above now and get through that ~5$-6$ zone above next. Bullish sentiment certainly would increase once we start trading above that again.

There are alternatives for counting the move from the ATH:


Two possible ways to see a simple zigzag (yellow and white) instead of a multi-zigzag, both of which can be seen as completed.

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