🕛 TOPDOWN - Long-Term Bullish Setup for NZD/USD
Overview:
The 3-month, monthly, and weekly analyses indicate a significant shift in character for NZD/USD. After a prolonged downtrend, the pair shows signs of a bullish reversal. While a trend line resistance is identified on the weekly, a daily correction is expected before considering a long entry.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Change in character.
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive with (CHOCH).
🟢 Inducement: Direct CHOCH.
🟢 Pull Back: Awaiting, potentially deep.
🟢 Internal Structure: Bullish.
🟢 Ext OB: Unmitigated for a potential flip.
🟢 Resistance/Supply Zone: Identified at the swing high level, aligned with the weekly resistance trendline and premier order block. So better for wait a correction till our suggest entry levels
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Patterns: Near completion at target levels.
Continuation: Rising Wedge, Shakeout Continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Considerations:
Record session count observed without momentum weakening.
Strict engulfing candles indicating sustained bullish strength.
3️⃣ Volume:
🟢 Fixed Range shows intact bull volume.
🟢 Volume on breakout and during correction is positive, suggesting a potential change of character.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 In the super bullish zone.
🟢 Range shift indicates growing bullish power.
🟢 No divergence observed.
🟢 Overbought, expecting a small correction.
🟢 Grandfather-father-son entries hint at strong bullish control.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band and dual band derivation support potential reversal and uptrend moments.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC:
🟢 Values: NZD 4.61 Vs USD 0.07, signaling USD weakness against NZD.
7️⃣ Sentiment: Overall, the sentiment is not entirely clear. While bulls have strong control, a final decision awaits a correction and its behavior.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish CHOCH.
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive.
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Flip area.
☑️ Candles Behavior: Awaiting correction.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: To be marked after prices complete the correction.
💡 Decision: Buy after a corrective move provides a valid low.
🚀 Entry: 0.6040
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5848
🎯 Take Profit: 0.7366
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 45 days
SUMMARY: The analysis supports a long-term bullish setup for NZD/USD. The completion of the corrective move is crucial for a more accurate entry, allowing for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Patience is key to capturing the potential upside in this trade.
Overview:
The 3-month, monthly, and weekly analyses indicate a significant shift in character for NZD/USD. After a prolonged downtrend, the pair shows signs of a bullish reversal. While a trend line resistance is identified on the weekly, a daily correction is expected before considering a long entry.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Change in character.
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive with (CHOCH).
🟢 Inducement: Direct CHOCH.
🟢 Pull Back: Awaiting, potentially deep.
🟢 Internal Structure: Bullish.
🟢 Ext OB: Unmitigated for a potential flip.
🟢 Resistance/Supply Zone: Identified at the swing high level, aligned with the weekly resistance trendline and premier order block. So better for wait a correction till our suggest entry levels
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: Daily.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Rounding Patterns: Near completion at target levels.
Continuation: Rising Wedge, Shakeout Continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Considerations:
Record session count observed without momentum weakening.
Strict engulfing candles indicating sustained bullish strength.
3️⃣ Volume:
🟢 Fixed Range shows intact bull volume.
🟢 Volume on breakout and during correction is positive, suggesting a potential change of character.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 In the super bullish zone.
🟢 Range shift indicates growing bullish power.
🟢 No divergence observed.
🟢 Overbought, expecting a small correction.
🟢 Grandfather-father-son entries hint at strong bullish control.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle band and dual band derivation support potential reversal and uptrend moments.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC:
🟢 Values: NZD 4.61 Vs USD 0.07, signaling USD weakness against NZD.
7️⃣ Sentiment: Overall, the sentiment is not entirely clear. While bulls have strong control, a final decision awaits a correction and its behavior.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Daily
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish CHOCH.
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive.
✔ Support/Resistance Base: Flip area.
☑️ Candles Behavior: Awaiting correction.
☑️ Trend Line Breakout: To be marked after prices complete the correction.
💡 Decision: Buy after a corrective move provides a valid low.
🚀 Entry: 0.6040
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5848
🎯 Take Profit: 0.7366
2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:5
🕛 Expected Duration: 45 days
SUMMARY: The analysis supports a long-term bullish setup for NZD/USD. The completion of the corrective move is crucial for a more accurate entry, allowing for a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Patience is key to capturing the potential upside in this trade.