Davy_Dave_Charts

PTON back to the drawing board

Short
NASDAQ:PTON   Peloton Interactive, Inc.
A week ago I swung some PTON calls and, expecting a bad ER (it really wasn't that great) I predicted a fall to below 12. Obviously that was not the case. Revisiting the chart, I believe we have a case for a bearish scenario based on the following: Rejection in drop based drop supply zone, gap that's yet to be filled and the reality that earnings were missed by almost 50%. If I'm not mistaken, the company has a problem with cash as well. This rally was unsustainable for those reasons and the macro-economic environment, which will likely lead to a longer rate hike cycle and a higher than anticipated terminal rate. The explosive price action left behind some very big imbalances and I can see a correction in the next few days/weeks. The question is, how fast will this correction be. If it happens suddenly enough, there can be tremendous downside momentum with 13.40 as a likely area of support, based on historical reaction to this zone. If the momentum smacks this down below 13.40, I'd keep an eye on 12.76, the 50% on the fib. 11.13, the 66%, would place this at an ideal spot for support on the 200 DMA.

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.