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Russel 2000 short

Short
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TVC:RUT   US Small Cap 2000 Index
Here might be an interesting short term setup for the Russel2000.

Lets check the Facts:
Rsi(5) >96; first time since November 1998. The sample size of the occurences is pretty small. Februar 1991 and May 1997 the index kept going unabated, other occurences showed drops >2%

Distance between ma20 and price is at an historical high (see macd1,20 pannel). As you can see the price often re-test ma20 either via time (choppy sideways) or a declining market.

Best thing to do would be either a short against a reversal high or a short via open range breakout. Do not just simply short as this trade is against the main trend. Please consider avrg. daily ATR in % (1 year) as your sl.
As the Russel2000 has higher beta stocks than the SPX and DJI it is the most promising short among the US-Indices at the moment.

2/3 of the Position should be scaled out around 1295 (green line, 4% from Fridays high), rest should be in play if the market continues to fall.

Dont forget that trades sometimes need time to work, so wait for your signal.
Trade active:
Minimum target is reached >2.35% from the top. Trade is set to BE
Trade closed manually:
Trade closed due to the Italian constitutional referendum on the weekend. Target was reached.
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