We all know you cannot predict the market, but here's my opinion for this Semiconductor ETF by February 1, 2022.
I base this prediction on the continued exodus from risk assets because of the likely FOUR rate hikes this year. I see NO support levels between our current price and the prior highs of 45+- There are two trend lines that would intersect at this level by February 1. I think a trend change could occur at one of the next two Fed Reserve meetings; January 25,26 or March 15,16.
Just my opinion, but I think Semi's will continue to lead the market as a whole, so get ready to buy in hard once we get some support.
I base this prediction on the continued exodus from risk assets because of the likely FOUR rate hikes this year. I see NO support levels between our current price and the prior highs of 45+- There are two trend lines that would intersect at this level by February 1. I think a trend change could occur at one of the next two Fed Reserve meetings; January 25,26 or March 15,16.
Just my opinion, but I think Semi's will continue to lead the market as a whole, so get ready to buy in hard once we get some support.
Was this just a short covering rally in a longer bearish downtrend?
In full disclosure I am still short, but have lost some money today, I think we will see this rally stop near 64 and reverse to the downside. If it rallies past 64 I'll switch over to bullish.