Kazonomics

$SPX $SPY BullTrend/ Indicator Tips /Price 1st #TA $es

INDEX:SPX   S&P 500 Index
2142 11 28
In markets that can remain irrational longer than we can remain solvent here some tips to consider when using indicators on price. There is a reason they say the trend is your friend. GL out there!
Flattening RSI vs. rising index price, you don't think that's divergence? She swings, two strikes with one to go and she falls fast
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Kazonomics PRO QuantitativeExhaustion
That's precisely the point the chart is making not to do. Look at 5/01/1996 Spx was 658 RSI topped. It flattened and began to decline from then to 5/01/1998. The Market hit a high of 1130 nearly 70%. Then after that all happened and you had full divergence the market continued to 1500.

Had you followed the flattening RSI since 1996 and subsequent divergence for 4 years you would have pretty much missed the bull market of the 1990's. Indicators like this should be used in combination with other indicators to help remove the bias they can create for the trader.
+4 Reply
topping soon, still have 200points to climb
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Sometimes the market can stay overbought or oversold for quite a long time, specially when you look at THE big picture like this. I think many countertrend traders fall into this trap and rip their profits. At last, it's always the game between the buyers and the sellers, their positions, their profit taking. No one knows and no one should care a lot about where the mkt is going, that isn't needed for making money, but you you react to the signs that the mkt is giving you. I have been here for a short time, but that's one of the best charts I've seen, well done.
+3 Reply
Good, but it's not my chart.
-1 Reply
meymz Victor.Y.F
that was @Kazonomics
+3 Reply
Very good post that everyone should read! Thanks for sharing
+2 Reply
Many good points that I also preach endlessly. Learn to read price, not oscillators or derivations of price. Good job. As for this chart - It would be extremely helpful if you put this chart in log form since the 1987 crash looks like a hiccup.
+3 Reply
Down Jones $INDU 100 Year Mega Trend Bull Market
+1 Reply
Yup I posted the Log version of the Dow Jones for the last 100 years using 6 month Candle bars. Highlighted 1987's crash that occurred in the midst of one the the secular bull market cycles after Jimmy Carter's era during Regan time. Its in one giant uptrend in this time frame for the last 100 years and the sentiment is oh so right for it to just keep on ripping. Buffet was right never bet against USA lol this is the megatrend of the ages right here!
+2 Reply
damm, is it possible that we are bound for a correction?
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