Moshkelgosha

The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly..!

TVC:SPX   S&P 500 Index
I have always tried to make whatever I learned better and move it to the next level. However, I always have not been successful.
With respect to all who publish their analyses on the platform, I would like to define my definitions of a good, a bad, and an ugly technical analysis.

A Good Analysis:
Must have certain features, including but not limited to:
1- Objective, Clear to understand, and actionable.
2- Looking from different angles and timeframes.
3- Considering alternative scenarios based on past data and updating hypotheses based on new changes.
4- Defines Entry, Target, Stop, and Risk level.

A Bad Analysis:
Any analysis which lacks some or all the features of good analysis could be considered as bad analysis.
The worst mistake an analyst could make is to consider only one scenario and thinks that his own viewpoint is the only correct one!

An Ugly analysis
Any analysis that lacks objectivity and consists of these sentences:
-Will go to the Moon
-Will fly to the Moon
-... to the Moon.
These must be considered as cruel seductive traps that try to fool others for publishers' gain.

Now I would like to review My S&P500 analyses in the past 8 weeks:

Aug 22, 2021: Editors' Pick

The Magical 50 days Exponential Moving Average (50EMA)


Aug 24, 2021:
What is "witching" and why is it quadruple?

Sep 2, 2021:
The market does not like long weekends..!

Sep 8, 2021:
Breaking down a movement

Sep 9, 2021: Editors' Pick
Rounding Top or More correction is coming..!

Sep 20, 2021: Editors' Pick
How likely a Reversal is?

Sep 22, 2021
S&P 500 Corrections, Similarities and Differences

Oct 4, 2021:
S&P 500 and raising the debt ceiling by October 18, 2021

Oct 12, 2021:
Anything can happen at any time in the market!

Oct18, 2021:
Moving toward 4545 will be a bumpy road..!

Now let's look at an Alternative Scenario:

What was my action plan for S&P 500 analysis:
buying SPXU at 15.17


I invite everyone to see how gathering data and considering different factors can lead to making profits out of negative markets!
Do not forget, it is easy to make money in bull markets and everyone feels like Wolf of the Wall Street.
But,
Only when the tide goes out do you discover who's been swimming naked. Warren Buffett.

Best,
Moshkelgosha

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