🔮 
SPY and 
SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025 🔮
🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Shutdown backlog week: Most major September reports finally drop on Tuesday and Wednesday — Retail Sales, PPI, Durable Goods — all of which normally move markets but are arriving late due to the October shutdown.
🏠 Housing and consumer read-through: Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, and Pending Home Sales give traders a real-time read on the health of housing and spending as the holiday season begins.
📉 Liquidity thinning: Thanksgiving week historically brings lighter volume and sharper moves when data surprises.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
Below are only the trader-relevant items, with delayed reports clearly marked.
TUESDAY, NOV 25 — The Big Data Dump
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.6 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Autos (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.7 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index PPI (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent
Year over year: 2.6 percent
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI (Delayed Sept)
Prior: 0.3 percent
Current: Not available due to shutdown
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI Year over Year
Actual: 2.8 percent
⏰ 9:00 AM — Case Shiller Home Price Index, 20-City (Sept)
Actual: Not available
Forecast: 1.6 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Delayed Aug)
Actual: 0.1 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Nov)
Actual: 93.4 (vs 94.6 forecast)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Oct)
Actual: 0.0 percent
WEDNESDAY, NOV 26
⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 22)
Actual: 225,000 (vs 220,000 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 2.9 percent prior)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods ex-Transportation (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.4 percent
THURSDAY, NOV 27
🦃 Thanksgiving — No economic releases
FRIDAY, NOV 28
⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Nov)
Forecast: 43.8
⚠️ Note: Many September reports are still delayed due to the federal government shutdown from Oct 1 to Nov 12. All delayed items are explicitly labeled above.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #macro #trading #stocks #inflation #consumer #PPI #retailsales #housing #markets
SPY and SPX Scenarios — Week of Nov 24 to Nov 28, 2025 🔮🌍 Market-Moving Headlines
📉 Shutdown backlog week: Most major September reports finally drop on Tuesday and Wednesday — Retail Sales, PPI, Durable Goods — all of which normally move markets but are arriving late due to the October shutdown.
🏠 Housing and consumer read-through: Case Shiller, Consumer Confidence, and Pending Home Sales give traders a real-time read on the health of housing and spending as the holiday season begins.
📉 Liquidity thinning: Thanksgiving week historically brings lighter volume and sharper moves when data surprises.
📊 Key Data and Events (ET)
Below are only the trader-relevant items, with delayed reports clearly marked.
TUESDAY, NOV 25 — The Big Data Dump
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.6 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Retail Sales ex-Autos (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 0.7 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Producer Price Index PPI (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent
Year over year: 2.6 percent
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI (Delayed Sept)
Prior: 0.3 percent
Current: Not available due to shutdown
⏰ 8:30 AM — Core PPI Year over Year
Actual: 2.8 percent
⏰ 9:00 AM — Case Shiller Home Price Index, 20-City (Sept)
Actual: Not available
Forecast: 1.6 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Business Inventories (Delayed Aug)
Actual: 0.1 percent
⏰ 10:00 AM — Consumer Confidence (Nov)
Actual: 93.4 (vs 94.6 forecast)
⏰ 10:00 AM — Pending Home Sales (Oct)
Actual: 0.0 percent
WEDNESDAY, NOV 26
⏰ 8:30 AM — Initial Jobless Claims (Nov 22)
Actual: 225,000 (vs 220,000 forecast)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods Orders (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.3 percent (vs 2.9 percent prior)
⏰ 8:30 AM — Durable Goods ex-Transportation (Delayed Sept)
Actual: 0.4 percent
THURSDAY, NOV 27
🦃 Thanksgiving — No economic releases
FRIDAY, NOV 28
⏰ 9:45 AM — Chicago PMI (Nov)
Forecast: 43.8
⚠️ Note: Many September reports are still delayed due to the federal government shutdown from Oct 1 to Nov 12. All delayed items are explicitly labeled above.
⚠️ Disclaimer: Educational and informational only. Not financial advice.
📌 #SPY #SPX #macro #trading #stocks #inflation #consumer #PPI #retailsales #housing #markets
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Disclaimer
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Disclaimer
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.