A conservative upward channel for SQ as charted from its Autumnal breakout. I found it interesting that the parabolic trend that seemed to be forming around November crashes almost in concert with the beginning of the BTC breakout around the same time, far afield from each other in market (NYSE vs. OPENSOURCE) but deeply correlated. Vague ad-hoc speculation but perhaps young-excited money switched their digital finance investments and went with the hype on BTC over SQ. Most importantly for me however, the fall from parabolic did not see a correction beyond the strong upward channel. Note that whenever the channel lines have been violated historically, we see quick corrections.
Expect slight lingering at each horizontal line, be wary which way it breaks if the candles do not hover around these lines, market neglect of a particular previous resistance/support may indicate a slight trend adjustment be very concerned if it falls below lowest horizontal.
MY PERSONAL NOT TRADING ADVICE strategy here is to ride the channel up selling 10% at every 24hr successive higher-highs that break above the trend (cream the top), until 72hrs of growth, and then reassess. And buying 2.5% more at every 24hr successive lower-low (BUY THE DIP). BUT if 36hrs successive lower lows, I will sell 5%, 10% at 48 hrs, and then reassess, a scaling stop loss of sorts.
The rationale here is hopefully obvious, sell a little on crazy upwards moves, you can recover most of it back if long term trend continues with minor violations/corrections of trend. I want to capitalize on these corrections (up or down) as long as I still believe the trend is intact. That is why I "reassess" after 72 straight hours of 4hr greens, perhaps I should stop selling and hold on, maybe the trend has shifted to a higher growth trend. Similarly I reassess after 36 hours of 4hr reds, slightly more conservative, because I am much more concerned about the trend shifting sideways or downwards then I am it going up more.
Excuse the rant, this is more for me than you ;)
Expect slight lingering at each horizontal line, be wary which way it breaks if the candles do not hover around these lines, market neglect of a particular previous resistance/support may indicate a slight trend adjustment be very concerned if it falls below lowest horizontal.
MY PERSONAL NOT TRADING ADVICE strategy here is to ride the channel up selling 10% at every 24hr successive higher-highs that break above the trend (cream the top), until 72hrs of growth, and then reassess. And buying 2.5% more at every 24hr successive lower-low (BUY THE DIP). BUT if 36hrs successive lower lows, I will sell 5%, 10% at 48 hrs, and then reassess, a scaling stop loss of sorts.
The rationale here is hopefully obvious, sell a little on crazy upwards moves, you can recover most of it back if long term trend continues with minor violations/corrections of trend. I want to capitalize on these corrections (up or down) as long as I still believe the trend is intact. That is why I "reassess" after 72 straight hours of 4hr greens, perhaps I should stop selling and hold on, maybe the trend has shifted to a higher growth trend. Similarly I reassess after 36 hours of 4hr reds, slightly more conservative, because I am much more concerned about the trend shifting sideways or downwards then I am it going up more.
Excuse the rant, this is more for me than you ;)