dchua1969

Bottoms UP

Long
dchua1969 Updated   
TVC:STI   Straits Times Index
Sometimes, when your life is too routine and the things you are exposed to are more or less the same, you become complacent. Go to work, come home, cook dinner, play games, sleep. Repeat and rinse.

In trading/investment, it can be the same as well. If you stick to your own local markets, the companies that are very familiar with (strong brand name, you are the customers for years, good review, etc), then you might missed out good opportunities.

Good opportunities such as markets in Thailand, Korea, Japan and Malaysia. For STI (SG market), it has only rebound from the bottom of 23 March around 22%. If you do some research, reading the news, etc you would know that these markets are faring better than STI.

They went up on average 43% from the bottom. Why wouldn't one want to make more money given the same time frame? Risks?

Unless you are venturing into the stocks in these countries which your broker might charge for a higher commission and custody fee, you are better off looking at the ETFs in these countries.

KLSE index (Malaysia) is EWM ETF
Japan index is Nikkei 225 index (futures) which most platforms will have or EWJ ETF
SET index (Thailand) is THD ETF
KOSPI index (Korea) is EWF ETF

Please do your own due diligence as the above is an example only. There are many ETFs that invest in these countries that offer different components mix and expenses. You want to look for one that offers the lowest .

I remain cautiously bullish on Asia markets now that the various countries are slowly reopening their economies and businesses are coming back as well. The consumers would still have to accept some inconvenience like putting on masks, keeping a social distance, no dine in at food outlets,etc. Other than that, being able to resume back to their pre-Covid 19 days is liberating for many who find staying at home stressful and suffocating.

Again, this chart is not exhaustive as comparing all available tradeable Asian countries would make the charts looks confusing. So , feel free to make your own index and/or ETFs comparison and decide if investing outside of your country is worthwhile, offering you a better ROI, etc.
Comment:
www.cnbc.com/2020/06...from-march-lows.html

Congrats if you have bought into AP.
Comment:
3 weeks later, you can witnessed from the chart how "slow moving" STI has performed compared to its peers.
Comment:
www.cnbc.com/2020/07...pines-singapore.html

If you are a contranian, then perhaps this article might be a sign of the stock market running too hot. But hot can get hotter, nobody knows when is the boiling point before it spills over (tumbles). One must remember that market can remain irrational for a long time so attempting to throw logic with Mr Market is a futile exercise.

To protect one's portfolio, it is good to hedge your positions with Gold, Silver, etc and ensure you protect your capital by not being greedy to take on a large position size. Stop loss also need to be adjusted for any surprises that Mr Market might throw at you. Enjoy the ride but don't flung off your shoes and wallets into the mid air while you are at mid-air.
Comment:
So you can see after a month or so , the performance of these few key indices in Asia Pacific and the weak performance of STI is compared to the others. For the same capital you put in, you would have more returns on Capital by betting on the others and not STI.
Comment:
you can see that after the strong rebound in March 20, all indices in this chart except STI went on a nice bullish rally. STI, sadly is still stuck in the sideway market since April 20
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