timwest

US Treas Bonds 20+ Yr Vs Gold - Safe Havens Following A Pattern

AMEX:TLT   ISHARES 20+ YEAR TREASURY BOND E
302 5 3
"SAFE HAVEN INVESTMENTS" are following a similar pattern of having a 10% rally after a long 25%+ slide.... Gold             First, Then Bonds. Both markets washed out at the end of 2013. After a first quarter bounce, gold             resumed its decline, but bonds have kept going and reached the seemingly magic 10% rally level (on 20 year TLT             , which doesn't factor in dividends paid along the way).

The percentage declines are similar (both greater than 25%) prior to the bottom and the rally of 10% is the same so far. The only difference this time is we are seeing a sharp drop in Gold             relative to Bonds and it is setting up a spread. At some point gold             becomes a buy, relative to bonds.

Let's see if we can nail when Gold             will outperform TLT             .

Tim 3:00PM EST, TLT             111.48 last, GLD             119.76 last. June 4, 2014
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Related Ideas

Frank_D PRO
2 years ago
Hi timwest, could the spread revert with TLT falling to catch "down" to gold? In relative terms gold would be less of a sell than bonds…
Reply
timwest PRO Frank_D
2 years ago
Gold did make a run up versus bonds (TLT) after this chart
... then has faded back down.
Reply
mika2k1 PRO
2 years ago
Seems speculative money thinks gold will perk up soon:
snapshot
Reply
timwest PRO
2 years ago
Gold outperformed TLT nicely after this :
snapshot
Reply
timwest PRO
2 years ago
Gold outperformed TLT after this chart : Note the 7% advance in the 19-days after.
snapshot
Reply
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