Texas Instruments - Full analysis for December 2022 Daily Chart
Expectation of Texas Instruments ($TXN) & Potential Strategy Ideas:
---This is my first post, if you like my breakdown and mechanical analysis please comment other tickers you want to see---
$TXN is a bit in decisive now with pressure from buyers and sellers to either cash out close to the ATH (all-time-high) of $199.86 or wait to catch a small upside-push expected from $TXN Q4 report out in early 2023. Currently $TXN is still holding steady over DOW and S&P by 1.56% during general market recovery. New contracts with $TXN and DoD will increase revenue on Q4 report, if market recovery continues at a steady or slower rate buyers win for Long-Term hold on $TXN while sellers will try and either convert to buyers trying to get in before the Q4 report or like we have seen in other markets create a mass sell-off either through a whale with Put options or large stake in the market or community sell-off (i.e. the AMC/GameStop massive market flooding except as a mass selling). For December we can expect to continue to see this fight between sellers and buyers as the pressure builds towards Q4, buyers have the upside with countdown to Q4 and also typically winter/holiday season we see less inverse-traders in the market meaning less active sellers. Price will maintain until end of December (watch for false breakouts look at yellow ceiling line we see 2 have already happened and we will see more) with slight push upside.
Strategy Ideas: -
Bull's : hold for upside from a long position until Q4
Bear's : short position you can take advantage of the false breakout's occurring but act quickly so keep an eye on the 15min / 1hr chart and compare that to your daily trends and anticipate only small moves toward downside for risk mitigation.
Call Option's: with false breakouts occurring more frequently while sellers fight back increasing pressure so no weekly options but you can go long until Q4 report (look for a date 2-3 weeks after report as buffer to have time to cash out the most you can w/o worrying about expiring your option). Or if you can't get an option far out and need a shorter term then you can catch a very small upside out after an expected false breakout make sure your order is filed at the lowest PP (price-point from the false breakout) and exercise option before expiration date.**For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Put Option's: since we are approaching ATH for $TXN you can buy Put's for under $195 PP on the short-term position this way you mitigate risk if we do break out toward upside after Q4 report, since there's a lot of indecisiveness take advantage and set your ceiling key-levels as your strike price this way you can collect while being safe. **For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Inverse Trades: preferably stay out until you can catch a good sighting of market, too much indecision to make any big swing moves. Watch volume on the daily and 4hr chart so you can track when to enter and leave for short and small profits. However, indecisiveness is not good for inverse.
TXN
---This is my first post, if you like my breakdown and mechanical analysis please comment other tickers you want to see---
$TXN is a bit in decisive now with pressure from buyers and sellers to either cash out close to the ATH (all-time-high) of $199.86 or wait to catch a small upside-push expected from $TXN Q4 report out in early 2023. Currently $TXN is still holding steady over DOW and S&P by 1.56% during general market recovery. New contracts with $TXN and DoD will increase revenue on Q4 report, if market recovery continues at a steady or slower rate buyers win for Long-Term hold on $TXN while sellers will try and either convert to buyers trying to get in before the Q4 report or like we have seen in other markets create a mass sell-off either through a whale with Put options or large stake in the market or community sell-off (i.e. the AMC/GameStop massive market flooding except as a mass selling). For December we can expect to continue to see this fight between sellers and buyers as the pressure builds towards Q4, buyers have the upside with countdown to Q4 and also typically winter/holiday season we see less inverse-traders in the market meaning less active sellers. Price will maintain until end of December (watch for false breakouts look at yellow ceiling line we see 2 have already happened and we will see more) with slight push upside.
Strategy Ideas: -
Bull's : hold for upside from a long position until Q4
Bear's : short position you can take advantage of the false breakout's occurring but act quickly so keep an eye on the 15min / 1hr chart and compare that to your daily trends and anticipate only small moves toward downside for risk mitigation.
Call Option's: with false breakouts occurring more frequently while sellers fight back increasing pressure so no weekly options but you can go long until Q4 report (look for a date 2-3 weeks after report as buffer to have time to cash out the most you can w/o worrying about expiring your option). Or if you can't get an option far out and need a shorter term then you can catch a very small upside out after an expected false breakout make sure your order is filed at the lowest PP (price-point from the false breakout) and exercise option before expiration date.**For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Put Option's: since we are approaching ATH for $TXN you can buy Put's for under $195 PP on the short-term position this way you mitigate risk if we do break out toward upside after Q4 report, since there's a lot of indecisiveness take advantage and set your ceiling key-levels as your strike price this way you can collect while being safe. **For Call/Put Options right now in indecisive markets make sure you check your Delta on that options contract and choose a higher one to be safe and avoid False/Confirmed breakout's**
Inverse Trades: preferably stay out until you can catch a good sighting of market, too much indecision to make any big swing moves. Watch volume on the daily and 4hr chart so you can track when to enter and leave for short and small profits. However, indecisiveness is not good for inverse.
TXN
Comment:
Continued: Expecting another test at $171.40 w/ false-breakouts or small up-swing's at/above $177.26 Oscillator is only a reference to confirm movement of price-action & to track incoming/outgoing supply and demand.
Comment:
12/06/2022 @ 1404 PST: $TXN is on course, no false breakout but if there is a CHoCH or/and BOS to one direction take immediate action, ceiling was tested and rejected from $178.30 down to $175.52. Watch for either the $171.40 floor test or confirmation candle to the upside. As of now with a 12% total volume occupancy a breakout upside is less probable than a small up-swing since the next HH key-level of $186.21 has ~15.5% volume occupancy. Unless within December the occupancy has an occupancy boost of >/= 3.5% then the probability is higher for a small up swing. All of this is only if $TXN stops acting indecisive earlier than December 20. Due to the yearly bump that happens between December 24 - Jan 04 most stocks once in that range experience a slight to mid size increase. However, if a major incident occurs to or associated to $TXN before December 20 that might set the course for the next few weeks on this market.