The current situation
1. A descending triangle is apparent on the daily chart, which has a 53% chance of breaking upwards and the (conservative) target if it breaks upward is about 7.5USD.
2. Bullish divergence is apparent on the 6HR chart, but not exactly in oversold territory on any of the major timeframes so it can still go both ways.
The bullish case: price action does need get above 4.6USD to make a very convincing case of a breakout and a reversal. All the major moving averages are at about 4.6 or lower, so breaking above this level will also get price action above all major moving averages again, which is a good sign then.
The bearish case: Another dip below the bottom trend line will be a bad signal to start. But if price action closes below the bottom trend line on the daily, this will be a convincing bearish case as this will be a new low in the current down trend.
*Thank you to those who donated, I very much appreciate it.
*Let me know in the comment section if you agree or disagree, would love to hear your ideas too.
*These are purely my speculations and not financial advice. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing.
1. A descending triangle is apparent on the daily chart, which has a 53% chance of breaking upwards and the (conservative) target if it breaks upward is about 7.5USD.
2. Bullish divergence is apparent on the 6HR chart, but not exactly in oversold territory on any of the major timeframes so it can still go both ways.
The bullish case: price action does need get above 4.6USD to make a very convincing case of a breakout and a reversal. All the major moving averages are at about 4.6 or lower, so breaking above this level will also get price action above all major moving averages again, which is a good sign then.
The bearish case: Another dip below the bottom trend line will be a bad signal to start. But if price action closes below the bottom trend line on the daily, this will be a convincing bearish case as this will be a new low in the current down trend.
*Thank you to those who donated, I very much appreciate it.
*Let me know in the comment section if you agree or disagree, would love to hear your ideas too.
*These are purely my speculations and not financial advice. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing.