Bulls did not show up - expecting lower price action
The current situation:
1. Price action had a double bottom apparent yesterday, 9/29, as highlighted in green, but did not end up reversing. It closed back on top of the 0.786 Fib level but did NOT hold. After, has formed a double to instead with the neckline at about 4.15 USD and a measured target of about 3.85 USD. The measured target of this double-top pattern is in more agreement with the measured target of the bigger head and shoulders pattern as seen.
2. There was bullish divergence on the 1HR chart, but it looks like it did play out and got rejected by the hourly 21MA.
The bullish case: I would look for a bullish engulfing candle to be a good start. Since bullish signals on the smaller timeframes have been invalidated, seeing it on a higher timeframe such as the daily may be more confirming.
The bearish case: the next level of support is at about 3.85 USD. If this level does not hold, price action can continue downwards to about 3.15 USD, which would be a full retracement.
*Thank you to those who donated, I very much appreciate it.
*Let me know in the comment section if you agree or disagree, would love to hear your ideas too.
*These are purely my speculations and not financial advice. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing.
1. Price action had a double bottom apparent yesterday, 9/29, as highlighted in green, but did not end up reversing. It closed back on top of the 0.786 Fib level but did NOT hold. After, has formed a double to instead with the neckline at about 4.15 USD and a measured target of about 3.85 USD. The measured target of this double-top pattern is in more agreement with the measured target of the bigger head and shoulders pattern as seen.
2. There was bullish divergence on the 1HR chart, but it looks like it did play out and got rejected by the hourly 21MA.
The bullish case: I would look for a bullish engulfing candle to be a good start. Since bullish signals on the smaller timeframes have been invalidated, seeing it on a higher timeframe such as the daily may be more confirming.
The bearish case: the next level of support is at about 3.85 USD. If this level does not hold, price action can continue downwards to about 3.15 USD, which would be a full retracement.
*Thank you to those who donated, I very much appreciate it.
*Let me know in the comment section if you agree or disagree, would love to hear your ideas too.
*These are purely my speculations and not financial advice. You should always do your own due diligence before trading or investing.