US 10Y TREASURY: just a short easing?

TVC:US10Y   US Government Bonds 10 YR Yield
Surprising news hit the market during the previous week, when rating agency Fitch announced that it has downgraded the US government long-term debt credit rating by one notch to AA+. Market reacted with a negative sentiment. Equity markets went to downside, while Treasury yields went to upside. US 10Y Treasuries moved from 3.9% up to the highest weekly level at 4.2%. Still, yields have ended the week at level of 4.0%. A move above 4% opened a path toward the 4.4% level, where yields were last standing during October last year, however, there is still time in the future until this level is reached again.

For the moment, markets are focused on US inflation data which will be released during the week ahead. Depending on the results, some market volatility might be expected, especially, considering that posted average hourly earnings showed an increase of 0.4% for July. The level of 4% will be tested at the beginning of the week, with some probability that 3.9% might be reached. At this moment charts are not pointing that yields might go lower from this level.


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