Multi Timeframe Analysis
Hint: US500 is close to a massive a bearish order block spanning 3780 to 3900 Yesterday's CPI data provided a nice whiplash down and up. Now you can profit again.
Bear Narrative:
1. A bear order block is about to be tested ; expect a potential fall to the bullish order block at to 3600. Price gravitates to such market imbalances.
2. Trader's Dynamic Index about to signal oversold.
3. Point of control nearby. Institutional traders could sell off to take profit.
5. Divergence signals on 4H 8H and daily
Await a confluence signifying a rejection from the order blocks, then take a satisfying counter position. From this juncture, we update the next forecast. I wouldn't advise a trade at this point due to conflicting signals.
Recommendation: set a sell stop order 1000 pips below this order block with a 2000 pip TP. Your SL can be poised above the order block
Further thoughts: People scream about mythical bitcoin bottoms. Bitcoin and cryptos follow the SP500 and DOW. As long as the SP500 continue trending downward due to bloody CPI and inflation data, such bottom will not yet exist.
Remember: life often disrespects charts so trade with caution
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Market order position upon the confluence of valid entry rules on the 4H or 1H chart.
-=ENTRY RULES=-
Trading philosophy: Don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace on the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or 78.6% fibonacci back in the direction of the master trend.
Note: I use Daily/4H or 4h/1H market structures with wave analysis to prep for potential entries. The RSI , MACD and EMA indictors are confirmation for entries at the 4H or 1H timeframe
For ORDER BLOCK trades
When price reaches a bearish or bullish orderblock, ascertain the price reversal by means of
1. Dojis
2. Morning/evening stars
3. Several wicks.
4. Engulfing candles or three white soldiers in the opposite direction
5. Marbouzou in the opposite direction.
6. Break of trendline or fast EMAs
For SHORT:
4H chart should confirm that the bullish retrace had turned bearish in the direction of master trend. The MACD should have dropped below zero signifying a bearish environment. Price would have dropped below the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is below the 50 signal line
For LONG:
4H chart should confirm that the bearish retrace had turned bullish in the direction of the master trend. The MACD should have gone above zero signifying a bullish environment. Price had gone above the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is above the 50 signal line
Divergences:
The 4H, 8H and 12H chart can reveal hidden divergences on the RSI , MACD , Money Flow Index, CMFI, On Balance Volume and Stochastics. When one or more divergences manifest- be ready. Trend reversal is coming. My best practice is to wait for at least an RSI divergence on the 4H, then drop to M15 to see price shifting with a 50EMA aligned with the 4H divergence.
About me
I am not a financial advisor nor a signal provider. These are the opinions of a 20-year private trader in the legal profession as well as a businessman diversified in the tech and hospitality industries. My favored tools of the trade include wave analysis, price action on the 4H to Weekly timeframes and institutional order flow ( COT data).
In partnership with capital markets research group Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital of Mahe, Seychelles
Hint: US500 is close to a massive a bearish order block spanning 3780 to 3900 Yesterday's CPI data provided a nice whiplash down and up. Now you can profit again.
Bear Narrative:
1. A bear order block is about to be tested ; expect a potential fall to the bullish order block at to 3600. Price gravitates to such market imbalances.
2. Trader's Dynamic Index about to signal oversold.
3. Point of control nearby. Institutional traders could sell off to take profit.
5. Divergence signals on 4H 8H and daily
Await a confluence signifying a rejection from the order blocks, then take a satisfying counter position. From this juncture, we update the next forecast. I wouldn't advise a trade at this point due to conflicting signals.
Recommendation: set a sell stop order 1000 pips below this order block with a 2000 pip TP. Your SL can be poised above the order block
Further thoughts: People scream about mythical bitcoin bottoms. Bitcoin and cryptos follow the SP500 and DOW. As long as the SP500 continue trending downward due to bloody CPI and inflation data, such bottom will not yet exist.
Remember: life often disrespects charts so trade with caution
------
Market order position upon the confluence of valid entry rules on the 4H or 1H chart.
-=ENTRY RULES=-
Trading philosophy: Don’t short at the lowest of the bearish momentum nor do we long at the peak of a bullish impulse. The safest entries are at the end of a retrace on the 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% or 78.6% fibonacci back in the direction of the master trend.
Note: I use Daily/4H or 4h/1H market structures with wave analysis to prep for potential entries. The RSI , MACD and EMA indictors are confirmation for entries at the 4H or 1H timeframe
For ORDER BLOCK trades
When price reaches a bearish or bullish orderblock, ascertain the price reversal by means of
1. Dojis
2. Morning/evening stars
3. Several wicks.
4. Engulfing candles or three white soldiers in the opposite direction
5. Marbouzou in the opposite direction.
6. Break of trendline or fast EMAs
For SHORT:
4H chart should confirm that the bullish retrace had turned bearish in the direction of master trend. The MACD should have dropped below zero signifying a bearish environment. Price would have dropped below the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is below the 50 signal line
For LONG:
4H chart should confirm that the bearish retrace had turned bullish in the direction of the master trend. The MACD should have gone above zero signifying a bullish environment. Price had gone above the 10 and 20 EMA . For good measure, check that the 4h and D1 RSI is above the 50 signal line
Divergences:
The 4H, 8H and 12H chart can reveal hidden divergences on the RSI , MACD , Money Flow Index, CMFI, On Balance Volume and Stochastics. When one or more divergences manifest- be ready. Trend reversal is coming. My best practice is to wait for at least an RSI divergence on the 4H, then drop to M15 to see price shifting with a 50EMA aligned with the 4H divergence.
About me
I am not a financial advisor nor a signal provider. These are the opinions of a 20-year private trader in the legal profession as well as a businessman diversified in the tech and hospitality industries. My favored tools of the trade include wave analysis, price action on the 4H to Weekly timeframes and institutional order flow ( COT data).
In partnership with capital markets research group Plazo Sullivan Roche Capital of Mahe, Seychelles