Looking for High Reward low Risk Trend Trade?

OANDA:USDCHF   U.S. Dollar / Swiss Franc
Classic buying retracement strategy. Price runs into a 61,8% Fib resistance right at minor swing resistance levels.
The previous swing low "break down" (pink support lines) indicates an intact downtrend.
As of statistics I assume a 25% chance of profit and a 35% chance of loss. With a 2,5:1 Reward to Risk Ratio its a good deal.
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