SYFXTF

USDINR - Weekly Outlook-Venkat's Blog

FX_IDC:USDINR   U.S. Dollar / Indian Rupee
The pair took support at 80.90 and made an attempt to scale higher of 81.76 levels, it got sold-off again. The support at 80.90 is a tuff nut to crack and may consolidate in the range of 80.90 & 82.05 with choppy moves on either side. A close above 81.75 can be treated as a reversal for re-attempt of 82.55. Only a break below 80.90 can see the pair drift towards 80.50 and then to 80.20. Most likely scenario would be a consolidation between 80.90 and 82.05. A close outside this range requires re-assessment of risk/direction and target.

A few more observations:
  • The currency pair trying to attempt the break-down levels in the reactive move
    The correlation between DXY and USDINR is not currently active
    though the Dollar Index-DXY is likely to hover in the familiar range of 101-105
    The raising upward channel indicate the broader range of 80.10-83.10
    The increased volatility and wild swings likely to continue


Disclaimer: The views expressed here are personal and not connected to SYFX Treasury Foundation. The views are for learning and reference purpose only.

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