ArnaudKleinveld
Short

Hot: UJ 4H H&S Drop at NYSE open

OANDA:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
Hot: UJ 4H H&S supports long awaiting UJ drop . Likely to be triggered by NYSE open now
Trade active: 250 pips to complete H&S pattern alone already :)
Comment: See https://www.tradingview.com/chart/mXikt1... for possible updates on the analysis with latest data
Comment: Updated Analysis and moved H&S to daily chart https://www.tradingview.com/chart/mXikt1...
Trade active: Raging bull ran into my left shoulder unfortunately
Comment: Correction, right shoulder...
Trade active: 3 weeks later and the process has started for real .. finally.
Check related ideas for more information.
Well? I'm confused about who is right?
1) You both make good points but? What I don't like is that you both are making this post personal at each other.
2) Please stick to the topic and not to personal approach (everyone is different) show your technical analysis to help each other understand why you decided on the prediction.
3) It's more helpful to your followers to see in an image and technical analysis approach to what you are trying to relay to everyone.
4) Try not to make it about who is the better Pro as your results will speak for there-self, your followers will praise and reward you.
5) Remember, treat others how you would like to be treated.
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@MAS-Trading, My apologies if our debate got you off as it was meant to be educational yet not too boring, i.e. at least from my side. There was no intent from me to become personal, my remark about age is purely because I consider myself an old fart and I use it to throw in some humor. Thank you for your feedback, I really like good critics as it helps me to become better. @lapin_eliott is a good critic and I thank him for taking the time to review my idea and write so many replies. Hopefully I treat everyone with the respect they deserve, if not, let me know and I'll apologise and change my attitude. Feedback is gold!
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lapin_eliott ArnaudKleinveld
@ArnaudKleinveld, you say that because the jusdge told you so to be release from your two days jail banishment ^^ more seriously, i'm much "older" and serious and professional that my posts might you think, however i use this kind of childish and troll-like attitude to force you give your best arguments. it appears that i have the same expectations on usdjpy, usdchf etc ... but i "attack" as if i was opposed to see what make you so confident in your analysis. i'm a very professional but very pessimistic trader (consequence of my experience). and i am often surprised to see people stuck on a forecast and do not want change even if the chart are turning ugly. what i'm interested in is how people change their view with the reality of chart and not how long they will stuck on a forecast just because of their initial pride. i admire however your efforts to publish your analysis as mine are of course secret and i'm too busy to publish it anyway, i'm on this tradingview forum to "force" some serious guys (and you are on my list of serious guys) to react in real time with the reality of the charts and price action
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ArnaudKleinveld lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, Thanks again. Interesting that you think this way and I'm happy to tell you it's not because I got released early from my ban. A few times before in public chat I have requested feedback with the note that it would be appreciated and I always thank people when they do. It just a shame that a some members have a negative, childish or non-constructive way of providing feedback. It would be so much more productive if we could just focus on the tech and data and leave all the bs aside. It's indeed often also pride or protectionism that stops analysts and traders from sharing their views and providing feedback and that should be respected. It just seems so difficult to debate in the Forex chat room without hitting sensitive ego or receiving unnecessary confrontacional feedback.
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lol it has broken the daily MM, nothing can stop it now to go to 114 and above... i told you
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ArnaudKleinveld lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, I guess there is an age difference between you and me because I stopped saying 'I told you' quite some time ago. Please have another look at the USD pairs against other majors and tell me where you see that uptrend to 114. "Broken the daily MM", please elaborate on this signal and I'd like to know if you have found more signals to support your statement above. Assuming that you are using one of the standard TA methods, then the difference between you and me is that my approach is process driven, hence I don't stop when my analysis predicted the wrong direction.
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by the way my idea is extremely simple, you mentioned you suspect the trading desk of the FED to be behind all of this, it makes totally sense, they follow the orders of trump administration to artificially strengthen the dollar in order to artificially weaken eur, gbp, jpy so that trump and its administration have weapons for their negotiations, as they will focus constantly on the weakeness of this currencies during the negotioations (even if it is done by them), but europe, UK and japan won't even understand what is happening to them, but with their weakening currencies trump will be able to justify strong commercial countermeasures . with a weak dollar they cannot do anything or justify what they want to do
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ArnaudKleinveld lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, trade wars indeed. Apparently it's common practice for the central banks around the world and I checked with a few and they publish it on their websites as market operations. Under various titles it can be justified but of course have a hidden agenda, that of weakening the trade counterparty's currency.
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you are the very first one to say that some strong bullish actors enter the markets each time usdjpy start to show some signs of bearishness (which are between us already extremely weak). so far it is for me the absolute definition of a pure extremely strong and unstoppable bullishness, just open your eyes to reality and accept it as i did.
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ArnaudKleinveld lapin_eliott
@lapin_eliott, The bearishness had become a little weaker but certainly not to a extreme level. On the other side, the bull runs have become very weak and in par with the strength of all majors. Which brings our target closer and I expect to see something either this week or next week but not later.
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