With 30pips against our direction since my last publication (see link below for reference purposes) on this pair, the price has found its way to complete a 127.2 extension to incite a reversal structure. It is worthy to note that the Japanese and US statistics headed in opposite directions this week to make the USD/JPY the only major pair to witness the Greenback appreciate last week.
Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Harmonic (AB = CD) | Supply & Demand Observation: i. The Bullish run since the beginning of the month appears to be stalling at my Supply zone as those who took advantage of the run are doing quick sells. ii. Confirmation of a Harmonic move (AB = CD) might be a result of a rejection of my Key Level @ 106.500 for a decline. iii. ABCD expectations; a. Impulse A-to-B expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg is at 50.0% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward: 1:4 Potential Duration: 2 to 7 days
NB: This speculation can be considered to make decisions on lower timeframes.
Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored.
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