This consolidation is forming a bullish flag (blue). The buying signal is active when the pair is traded above 123,9 / 124,45. I see potential on the upside.
On the downside, the level between sma 200& ema 200 should be a strong support.
Prices below this level will turn the chart into bearish (middleterm)
Will the support @ 121,5 hold and the bullish wedge be triggered and bought?
If yes, then the shortterm target @ the upper side will be the upper edge of the longterm uptrend @ 129,5.
If the strong support @ 121,5 does not hold, a fast drop till target @ EMA200 @ 118 could appear.
Below the EMA 200 a drop till the longtermtrend @ 113,6 could be exspected.
If you like my analysis and find it useful, please take a second and hit the LIKE button and follow me. It takes some time to create these posts and your LIKES let me know it is helpful to you. As always, any comments are welcome. Agree or disagree.