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Analysis of the movement of the hryvnia to the dollar: UANUSD

Short
FX_IDC:USDUAH   U.S. DOLLAR / UKRAINIAN HRYVNIA
The movement of the UANUSD pair in autumn depends on such events as: Repeated outbreaks of coronavirus that will lead to tougher quarantine measures. Serious deterioration of the situation in the global economy. Refusal to cooperate with the IMF. Dollar GDP will shrink by $ 20 billion to the level of 2018. At the same time, the forecast for inflation was improved to 9.8%. For currency reserves of the NBU and the exchange rate of the hryvnia - the average annual rate will be within the range of 27 - 28 UAH / USD. The improvement was due to a decrease in energy prices, a decrease in imports, including for external tourism, and the maintenance of a moderately tight monetary policy.
Total:

Dollar exchange rate forecast in Ukraine for September 2020. Course at the beginning of the month is 27.58 hryvnia. The maximum exchange rate is 27.78, the minimum is 26.96. Average monthly rate 27.42. The forecast for the dollar at the end of the month is 27.37, change for September is -0.8%. Dollar to Hryvnia forecast for October 2020. The course at the beginning of the month is 27.37 hryvnia. The maximum exchange rate is 27.73, the minimum is 26.91. Average monthly rate 27.33. Dollar exchange rate forecast at the end of the month 27.32, change for October -0.2%.

Dollar Exchange Rate Forecast in Ukraine for November 2020. The course at the beginning of the month is 27.32 hryvnia. The maximum exchange rate is 27.32, the minimum is 26.29. Average monthly rate 26.91. The forecast for the dollar at the end of the month is 26.69, change for November is -2.3%.

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