DollarYenQueen

US Crude Oil Long Idea - WAR Scenario

Long
DollarYenQueen Updated   
TVC:USOIL   CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Yesterday, Joe Biden announced that Russia is beginning an ”Invasion of Ukraine” and that sanctions could be imposed ”at any moment” to punish Moscow. He announced a lift of the sanction on Nord Stream 2 pipeline, recently imposed by Trump, giving Russia the greenlight to build to Germany. He subsequently announced that this lift would raise US gas prices leading to a very bullish WTI scenario.

I used the Fibonacci fan method on the monthly chart dating back to 2009, the last time Crude Oil saw an initial price rise to over $100 a barrel to illustrate a potential long scenario.

A good entry point would be now at .382 or about $93 with the next short-term target being $98. If Oil can reach $98 we may see the price move to $105 with a resistance of .25 or about $113.
Comment:
To clear up any confusion. Biden lifted the sanction on Nord 2 Stream in May 2021 that Trump imposed during his presidency. Ukraine is an US ally and Joe Biden has threatened to re-impose the sanction because of Russia’s attack on Ukraine.

The first TP of $98 has been hit! Let’s see if it can reach $105 and also pray for those affected by the conflict in the meantime.

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