TVC:VIX   Volatility S&P 500 Index
The chart says it all. Red Alert. Shields up. Prepare to engage or flee.
Comment: Timing is extremely important with VIX/VXX/TVIX/UVXY trades. My best guess currently is that we will hit volatility peak around July 6th and market lows around July 15th. Good luck all!
Comment: I am raising the warning again. Red Alert. Shields up.


Really ?
Near 200 on the Vix ? Am I reading your chart correctly ?
I must need a new pair of reading glasses
+4 Reply
supere The_Unwind
@The_Unwind, correct, my friend. It may not even stop there.
+1 Reply
aaronsmth5 The_Unwind
@The_Unwind, it’s very possible if we breach into lower lows like SPY $160 or QQQ $150
I strongly disagree with your timing, but agree with the logic. I also predicted the massive VIX spike up to 85 but was caught off guard with the subsequent retreat to lows. I believe VIX will drop back to 27 range in the next month before the real rocket that you are claiming to 85+ happens. GL and keep up the good work!
+1 Reply
supere Throwthethrowaway11
@Throwthethrowaway11, What is your reasoning to disagree with my timing?
@supere, I am planning to draft a post sometime over the weekend/next week. But i believe in momentum/volume of VIX. VX volume should be significant consistently in a strong move up leading to the euphoric selling volume at the top. I interpret the last spike as the "warning". I believe we will drop to fill the gap in the next month before beginning the real move. This action is extremely similar when compared to the January warning pop, that preceded the February crash.
JGM0706 Throwthethrowaway11
@Throwthethrowaway11, spot on! it went down in July to 27.... do you still see UVXY going to $85?
@JGM0706, thanks man :). I don’t trade UVXY only VIX and silver. I see VIX going to either 35 or 85 short term depending on what levels break. I agree with supere for a target of 150-200 but I think that happens in October. Sorry I don’t really post here. I post on reddit mostly under my username scarvesandsuspenders. Good Luck and have a nice day!
+1 Reply
JGM0706 Throwthethrowaway11
@Throwthethrowaway11, thank you!!
Hello again Supere. Curious as to what you see. I think VIX over 150 but not until October... However I do have some positions in place. This is still the timing issue i continue to argue. I dont see enough VX volume to cause concern yet and we are too distant from daily cloud on ichi. If anything i see a runnup to 35 and more consolidation. Good Luck!
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