PHICAPITALINVESTMENTS

XAGUSD SILVER 3-3-5 FLAT CORRECTIVE STRUCTURE (4H)

Short
FX:XAGUSD   Silver / U.S. Dollar
Here is my wave count for the current structure developing within XAGUSD Silver. Speaking strictly in terms of Elliott Waves, with respect to the longer weekly time frame, I believe we are in a 5 wave Impulse which started around $11/oz in mid-March and will head up towards the previous All Time High of around $50/oz. Within this longer term Impulse, I believe we are currently in Wave 2, which is a corrective structure. Specifically, I believe we are currently in Wave C of a 3-3-5 Flat structure which started early August. Within this Wave C, which should be a 5 wave structure itself, I believe we are currently completing Wave 2 (which itself is an ABC Flat for the downside). We can expect another small correction (perhaps a 5 wave triangle or something more complex) to develop before Wave C terminates. I believe this structure will ultimately settle to around $21/oz before the prevailing upside trend resumes. This price also lines up nicely with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level with respect to Wave 1 of the larger Impulse. Supposing this current correction does not develop into something more complex, we can expect to see Wave 3 of the larger time frame Impulse start from around $21/oz. Given all this, how will I trade this? For the short term, I would wait for around $27.9/oz to enter a nice Sell when the smaller corrective structure completes, which can be held until $21. From there, I will be looking to enter a Buy position to ride Wave 3 up on the larger time frame.

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