goldenBear88

Gold on critical crossroads / Neutral Short-term

Short
FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold's general commentary: As Bond Yields were Trading on losses for #4 consecutive sessions, I had the clear upside confirmation regarding Gold. Current configuration should last at least as High as #1,917.80 (my previous Bullish model remains valid). If #1,917.80 breaks, you may re-Buy aiming at #1,927.80 (way above #1,900.80 psychological barrier). As expected, Buying accumulation I discussed throughout the last week started and the Technical reason behind it was the Ascending Triangle configuration which was adding confidence to Buyers, attracted Short-term Investors, triggered their Buying orders. Hourly 4 chart remains an Channel Up (already broken above the Ascending Triangle), so I will be keeping an eye on the Daily chart’s #1,917.80 for Medium-term Resistance and the Hourly 4 chart's #1,900.80 for Short-term Support. Technically the Daily chart's #1,917.80 Resistance has been unbroken since January #5 and rejected the Price-action on multiple occasions, so you realize the significance of this level.


Technical analysis: Gold’s upswing extended (Ascending Triangle Bullish break I mentioned) almost as High as the Hourly 1 chart Resistance as the Price-action rebounded again, currently about to test the #1,907.80 - #1,917.80 Neutral zone (Higher High upper extension). Ahead of the Fundamental data throughout current week and as long as the Daily chart is Bullish (about to form Golden Cross), I don't want to take excessive risks, but Technically if I have an upside attempt and possible rejection near the #1,917.80 Resistance zone, then a rejection back towards the #1,892.80 and #1,880.80 is more probable, where if Gold closes one full Hourly 4 candle below the Support, I have a Bearish breakout towards / correction towards #1,850.70 Lower High. Market closed above the Resistance, which means that Gold can peak near #1,917.80 within #2 sessions (of course if Yields continue the Bearish trend and continue Trading on Annual Low’s).


My position: As I am more than satisfied with my Monthly Profits (#6 Profits and #1 Stop-loss hit of #6 points), I won't be rushing onto new position and endanger my capital. Certainly, Price-action can go both ways from this point, but my model leans more to the Selling side since market can't Trade only in one direction. If Gold recovers #1,917.80 it will be a sign of Buying continuation, however if #1,902.80 breaks, it can be a quick spike towards #1,892.80. I will only Buy if #1,917,80 breaks, and I will Sell (with extreme care and moving my Stop-loss every #2 points) if #1,903.80 breaks (pursuing #1,885.80 in extension). All in all, I am aswell ready to sit out today's session if it provides me no entry opportunities.

- My official and only Telegram Channel: t.me/goldenBear88
- Few other un-official channels are not mine, they are copies using my real information (impersonating me and my work / identity) so keep that in mind and beware of those.
Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.