GOLD price struggles for direction
With all the excitement this week for the US stock market, and Nvidia in particular, gold has been left on the sidelines waiting for a macro boost. Next week's economic calendar has a host of potential movers with next Wednesday's US Q4 GDP and Thursday's core PCE release the two most likely candidates for a boost. price action.
In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has been discussing the need to curb excessive optimism regarding interest rate cuts. Initially, the markets predicted around 170 basis points of rate cuts for this year, starting in March. The Fed's plan for three cuts, beginning in the second half of the year, was initially seen as insufficient. However, their persistence and positive data releases have aligned market expectations. Currently, the market predicts a total of 83 basis points in cuts, with the first cut fully priced in for the July 31st meeting.
This paring of cut expectations has weighed slightly on gold, capping further upside. Gold has lost around $100/oz. this year and the weekly chart shows a negative trend still in play. A break below $1,984/oz. is needed to keep this trend in place. A break above $2,044/oz. brings $2,070/oz. back into focus.
In recent weeks, the Federal Reserve has been discussing the need to curb excessive optimism regarding interest rate cuts. Initially, the markets predicted around 170 basis points of rate cuts for this year, starting in March. The Fed's plan for three cuts, beginning in the second half of the year, was initially seen as insufficient. However, their persistence and positive data releases have aligned market expectations. Currently, the market predicts a total of 83 basis points in cuts, with the first cut fully priced in for the July 31st meeting.
This paring of cut expectations has weighed slightly on gold, capping further upside. Gold has lost around $100/oz. this year and the weekly chart shows a negative trend still in play. A break below $1,984/oz. is needed to keep this trend in place. A break above $2,044/oz. brings $2,070/oz. back into focus.
Comment:
🔹New home sales in the United States rose by 1.5% in January 2024 on a monthly basis to reach 661,000 units, and were higher by 1.8% on an annual basis, according to the US Census Bureau report. The reading was lower than expectations of a rise to 680,000 units.
Comment:
Comment:
USD🇺🇸
GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
Previous: 3.3%
Expect: 3.3%
Current: 3.2%
GDP (QoQ) (Q4)
Previous: 3.3%
Expect: 3.3%
Current: 3.2%
Comment:
April gold futures have a near-term advantage despite a three-month downtrend on the daily bar chart. Bulls aim to surpass solid resistance at $2,083.20 while bears seek to push prices below technical support at $2,000.00. Immediate resistance lies at $2,053.20 and $2,061.00, while support is found at $2,033.40 and $2,025.00.
Trade active:
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