XAUUSD - KOG REPORT!

KOG Report:

In last weeks KOG report we said we would like to see some bearish pressure on Gold as long as the price stayed below the 1960 region. We suggested that if the market opened and pushed to the upside we would be looking for the zones illustrated on last weeks report to hold and then we would be looking to go short. We wanted to see at least the 1910 level target completed, however, the market reached 1914 and then turned bullish again. We suggested during the week in the FOMC report that we had a target of 1945 which you can see has now been achieved.

So what can we expect in the week ahead?

We’re going to keep this report shorter than usual as our plan hasn’t really changed from last week, only the potential regions for reaction have changed which we have updated on the chart.

We’re going to say again that we’re not convinced with the bullish movement at the moment, our bias is still neutral, but we feel there is an opportunity to get in on a short trade to target the lower support levels below 1900! That’s not to say we’re not seeing this go up a bit more. So, we have two targets in mind for the week ahead, the above target of 1970-75 and a lower target area of around 1890-95. We will be looking to either go long from support to target the higher level or 1975 or be looking to short the market from the higher level of 1975 down into lower support levels.

So we will look at this as usual with two scenarios in mind:

Scenario 1:

It would be ideal for the market to open and push up a little to tap into that 1950 supply and face some resistance there. We are expecting a pullback into the regions of 1940, 1935 and potentially 1920. This is where we feel there will be an opportunity to exits any short trades and take the long entry into the higher resistance level of 1970-75 where we will again be looking to go short for the lower levels. Please note, breaking 1920 and staying below this level will take us lower into 1910.

Scenario 2:

Price opens and pushes towards the downside, we will be looking for support to hold first around the 1930-35 region, breaking this the lower price point is 1920. If we see strong support here we will be looking to go long into the higher resistance levels of 1970-75 where again we will be looking to go short to target the lower support levels.

So in essence, there are two key levels we are looking at targeting, we either want to go long from below to target 1970-75 or we want to go short from above to target 1895. Based on the mildness of the breakout on Friday it is very possible that we see this now range again just to really frustrate traders before they actually make the move they want to. While it ranges we will be trading this level to level the KOG way. As usual, we will update the analysis throughout the week and keep you in sync with any changes.

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As always, trade safe.

KOG