ActuaryJ

XAUUSD: 7/3 Today’s Market Analysis and Strategy

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Gold held on to a strong trend on Thursday following yesterday's sharp gains. The U.S. dollar index tumbled to a nearly five-week low on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated in congressional testimony that the Fed is still expected to cut interest rates starting later this year even if it is uncertain whether inflation can continue to make progress. International gold closed up 20 US dollars on Wednesday and once exceeded 2,150 US dollars during the session.

Market expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in June have barely changed. Spot gold prices are on track to close higher for a sixth consecutive trading day, while gold futures have closed higher or near flat on all but two of the past 14 trading days.

Gold hit a new record while other precious metals also rose sharply after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the central bank may cut interest rates this year. Earlier, U.S. ADP data showed that companies increased hiring in February, which also boosted gold prices. At the same time, the competition for gold's long and short positions is fierce, and trading volume shows that long orders continue to increase.

The gold market held on to recent gains as Powell reiterated his stance in congressional testimony that interest rates have peaked and are likely to fall this year. However, Powell also maintained a cautious attitude on monetary policy and said that interest rate cuts would not be soon.

Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2150-2200, support below is 2100-2080
Four-hour resistance is 2150, support below is 2124

Gold operation suggestions:
From the four-hour analysis, today's lower support focuses on around 2124. The short-term bullish strong dividing line moves to the 2124 mark. If the daily line falls back below 2100, it may be a sign of the formation of a top. The daily long-short dividing line is 2080. Friday NFP will be a turning point for gold, and there may be a large number of long positions taking profits.

BUY:2124 near
BUY:2140 near

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