XAU/USD continues to move downwards
Morning outlook - XAU/USD continues to move downwards
In accordance with expectations, the surge of the gold price did not last for long, as the pair was turned around by the monthly PP located at the 1,300.00 level, which transformed from support into resistance.
At the moment, there are certain signs that the rate is going to try to climb to the top again. However, this new attempt is expected to fail due to presence of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs plus the updated weekly PP, which altogether additionally strengthen the above resistance level.
In addition to that, the further deprecation of the bullion against the gold is expected from a daily perspective, as the rate is fluctuating in a junior descending channel, which forms a part of a larger long-term ascending channel.
In accordance with expectations, the surge of the gold price did not last for long, as the pair was turned around by the monthly PP located at the 1,300.00 level, which transformed from support into resistance.
At the moment, there are certain signs that the rate is going to try to climb to the top again. However, this new attempt is expected to fail due to presence of the 55- and 100-hour SMAs plus the updated weekly PP, which altogether additionally strengthen the above resistance level.
In addition to that, the further deprecation of the bullion against the gold is expected from a daily perspective, as the rate is fluctuating in a junior descending channel, which forms a part of a larger long-term ascending channel.
Comment:
XAU/USD makes expected rebound
An area around the 1,313.61 mark indeed represented a sort of benchmark, which bullion traders used to try to restore previously lost positions. As this advance had a short-term effect, the pair expectedly fell back through the weekly and monthly PP as well as the 55- and 100-hour SMAs yesterday.
On the one hand, such movement points out on formation of a minor descending channel. If this is true, then the rate is likely to continue to move to the bottom, trying to hit the weekly S2 at 1,283.66. A pressure from the above technical indicators would support such movement.
On the other hand, there is a need to take into account that three times in a row the rate failed to pass through the 1,290.93 level.
An area around the 1,313.61 mark indeed represented a sort of benchmark, which bullion traders used to try to restore previously lost positions. As this advance had a short-term effect, the pair expectedly fell back through the weekly and monthly PP as well as the 55- and 100-hour SMAs yesterday.
On the one hand, such movement points out on formation of a minor descending channel. If this is true, then the rate is likely to continue to move to the bottom, trying to hit the weekly S2 at 1,283.66. A pressure from the above technical indicators would support such movement.
On the other hand, there is a need to take into account that three times in a row the rate failed to pass through the 1,290.93 level.
In result of the previous trading session, the yellow metal managed to recover not less than 1.26% against the buck. Such rapid advance pushed the pair not only through the psychological 1,300.00 level but also through the upper boundary of a descending channel as well as the 200-hour SMA. Most likely this sudden interest in gold was attributed to very hostile rhetoric between the US and North Korea.
On the other hand, such movement could also have a technical rationale, as by the moment, the pair has reached the 1,313.61 mark that represents a point from which it entered into a downfall six days ago. This fact as well as the additional resistance set up by the weekly R1 at 1,315.94 suggests that the rate is likely cool down and eventually resume the fall.