XAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant pattern
XAU/USD ready to test strength of dominant pattern
In essence, the buck is actively appreciating against the gold the third day in a row. A short-term bullish movement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00 was the only exception and was attributed to beginning of drills on the Korean peninsula. But, in general, the pair is driven by optimism over the progress of tax bill.
Accordingly, today the rate is expected to continue heading downwards until it makes a rebound from the bottom boundary of a currently active two-month long descending channel near 1,255.00. However, the above market sentiment has a good chance to push the rate even more down. If this breakout happens and the pair gains a foothold below the weekly S2, this might be a sign of existence of another unconfirmed four-month long descending channel.
In essence, the buck is actively appreciating against the gold the third day in a row. A short-term bullish movement towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1,268.00 was the only exception and was attributed to beginning of drills on the Korean peninsula. But, in general, the pair is driven by optimism over the progress of tax bill.
Accordingly, today the rate is expected to continue heading downwards until it makes a rebound from the bottom boundary of a currently active two-month long descending channel near 1,255.00. However, the above market sentiment has a good chance to push the rate even more down. If this breakout happens and the pair gains a foothold below the weekly S2, this might be a sign of existence of another unconfirmed four-month long descending channel.
Even though the exchange rate was moving in a falling wedge formation and was about to reach the bottom trend-line of a medium-term descending channel, the rebound did not happen. Instead, the pair continued to fall to up until the monthly S2 located at 1,246.74. The drop was mainly based on funding bill that was sent to President Trump by the Congress in order to avoid government shutdown.
After such rapid appreciation of the buck, in first half of this trading session the yellow metal is expected to recover some lost positions, tending to reach an area near the 1,252.00 mark. However, this recovery might be cancelled in case of release of the better than expected employment data. Moreover, there is a need to take into account an ongoing optimist related to progress on tax reform.