ActuaryJ

XAUUSD:5/3 Today’s Analysis and Strategy

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
On Tuesday, gold maintained a strong trend after soaring by more than $30 yesterday, with gold prices currently sitting around 2120. International gold continued to rise, near three-month highs, on expectations of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve.

With the market betting that the first U.S. interest rate cut since early 2020 is imminent, traders have piled into gold, which is within striking distance of a record high. Intraday gold prices exceeded 2020 and were close to the all-time high of 2144 set in early December last year.

At the same time, central banks of various countries are actively increasing gold reserves. IMF data shows that India increased its gold holdings by 7.812 tons in January 2024 to 811.417 tons. Gold prices suffer when the U.S. adopts higher interest rates to curb inflation, boosting returns on competing assets like bonds and boosting the dollar, making the precious metal more expensive to buy with foreign currencies.

Gold technical analysis
Daily resistance is 2150, support below is 2100
Four-hour resistance is 2150, support below is 2100-2080

Gold operation suggestions:
Judging from the daily analysis, today's lower support is focused on around 2100-2080, and the upper target is still focused on breaking high. The short-term bullish strong dividing line has moved to 2100. Gold is currently expected to have a high probability of breaking through a new historical high.

BUY:near 2100
BUY:near 2080


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