ezpi

BTCUSD / 2h 200sma rejection short

Short
ezpi Updated   
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
Looking at this for next trade.
The 2h 200sma comes in around 6980 so will begin shorting from there up to 7090.
The 7060 support layer will no doubt be tested and show s/r flip to resistance.

Bear scenario: Overall this is the long expected downtrend we knew was coming.
Bull scenario: This was a retest of support before heading to 8k supply zone.

BTC is acting very strange the last 1-2 weeks so I wouldnt be surprised if it is.
I also feel that there is much less supply in the market until we reach 8k for those people to dump. 8k area is still a high POC on VPVS and until those coins are released into the market it feels like we are dealing with a limited supply.
Comment:
Todays candle close will either be big red (bear) or small green (neutral).
No bullish scenario I can see right now.
54%+ of $100k+ margin trades active on top 5 biggest exchanges are shorts.
Normally there is a much higher long/short ratio. This is very significant % of shorts active.
Given this very overbalanced shorting of the market, we didnt even climb above 6960 today even with a wick...

We are currently stuck between 200/300 on the downside and 100 on the upside SMMA lines.
There is a very narrow swing trade margin right now.
No good active trades to take.
Weekend is here and expecting to see huge market manipulation pumps or dumps.
I would bet 80% likely that if we see a massive pump, then short it as its fake -- and vice versa (massive dump = long because its fake).

Short fakeout pumps at 7060-7300
Long fakeout dumps at 6600-6750

I think i might just put those trades up and go enjoy my weekend....
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