Hedgehog_king

Most critical days for BTC movement?

Short
Hedgehog_king Updated   
BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
1. Oscillators mostly reset on low TFs (Daily and lower), and most of them have still a lot more room on higher TFs (weekly/monthly)...
2. Most of the MAs (Especially if we check them on 4h tf, such as sma200, ma50, ema89, ema21, ema200, ema50...) are close (or already) dead crossed and above price levels (strong resistances)...
3. Clouds on all low TFs are above (And all persistently showed strong resistance, especially my loved 4h/daily), usually when daily cloud is persistent rejection, then the weekly cloud is next in line ;)...
4. We broke important trend line of the current parabolic run, if we stay below it for next 2 more days, it is very very bearish for me...
5. The buying power (OBV) is exhausted and creating lower and lower lows, as well we have more and more reversal divergences on every bull spike for higher level prices...

* For long term investment portfolios, I would suggest keep buying BTCs when you can, and the more we go down the more you should buy XDDD...
no doubts that BTC will get to ATH, and will rekt everything to above 100k...

* For the short term it's a "no zone trade", as no one can really guess where we are going really the moment we get volume excitement/panic...

* I am personally been bearish on my trading portfolios for long while as all of you already know, thus I keep adding to my shorts, especially since I have many more bearish bias speculations of my own.
- One of them is this "mid term perspective" (Or as I called it before many times wrongly "big term") is my reminder when I compare the current parabolic run (Or as many of you already know that I call it an "Echo bubble") to the last parabolic run...
- Some of you will tell me that this is different as the last parabolic run ended up "bearish" and the current one is still "bullish" due to important other MAs which might result as strong support (Due to past experience), and because this is a bull flag (And not descending/symmetrical triangle), and because lots of crazy things coming (Bakkt and other news), but to me personally I didn't have real confirmations the way I trade that we gonna continue this "bullish" market, I might be wrong (And I don't care if I'm wrong because I wish to get over with this boring market already regardless down/up, as I will catch the direction either early or later on), but I expect that: If in next 2 days we can't retake 10250, then we gonna see 5-7k (To reset this parabolic), or 7.3-8.2k (Next trend line + next strong support levels)...

So good luck to you all, trade safely..
Hedgehog king.
Comment:
Close up to last parabolic run:
Close up to current parabolic run:
Comment:
Hope you are getting a lot of value from my updates, cheers <3
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Hedgehog King!

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Comment:
As I mentioned that people would say that I'm wrong do to 'great things are coming' and thus 'sentiment is crazy bullish'... so:
1. Bakkt sentimentals (and other great news) already priced in, it helped to prevent the BTC price from crushing down (all the bullish wicks were a try hard for bulls to show strenght due to news - failed, added liquidity to go down, shows the bulls are exchasted), indact I think Bakkt (and other news) wont do shit to the market, not up nor down, which will create disapointment of the sentiment.
2. Too many people/groups/channels are too bullish for me, especially on the Alt season excitement (which from my perspective was a try out hard to lure people into Crypto excitement as nothing they tried didnt bring 'new type of money' to BTC), when all bullish I stay away as this usually ends up bloody.
3. Im gonna be bullish if we overtake 12k and have volume activity confirmation for that.. we prevent bearish if we go above 10250 in next 2d candles.
4. Fear greed is pretty much static/same at 20-41for a month now, since it's not improving drastically I think the panic will start effecting the market again..
5. Google trends isn't trending for Bitcoin, at all (despite all the excitement, it keeps going down), and the 'btc' ticker which was manipulated which I proved last month is going down more and more which means the 'bots' excitement is also going down which means they wont be able to hold this price much longer unless something else excite them again..
6. People are getting board and losing patience with BTC non action, some will start selling which will cause panic sellout, and as a trader you do not want to get stuck longing a panic sell out.
7. From my perspective, BTC sentiment need to get reseted, for new big money to flow in again, for that we need that one last push downwards, this is not the year BTC will show ATH, next year should be the year it all starts.

* Thus if you are investor, you can keep accumulate, even more the more we drop.
* As investor, you should be really careful for both sides (or wait for 1 side to win with confirmation, and then join it)..

But then again, this is just my bearish bias, I might be totally wrong which is also fins as I keep accumulating my long term portoolio, and will move my trading portfolio to bullish bias the moment I see confirmations above 12k..
Comment:
Another TA idea that works out with my TA nerative with TR:
media.discordapp.net...8141066/6xWeUrAc.png
Comment:
If we close today below 9975 (bearish doji/spinning top candle), this would be extremly bearish for me guys, on daily, it will mean that next destination is 9530...
Comment:
Im super bearish now, will update another new signal today/tommorow after I see 1 more confirmation for my bearish bias..
My recomendation is as follows:
1. On your long term portfolio investment, keep accumulating the lower we go.
2. On my signal: #Short#CurrentPrice-10213
Current price is: 9722
move sl to better profit level: 9950
3. On a swing trade for longs:
Now is good buy level, all the way towards the weekly e21 (which is 9350)
4. Next signal for a short swing/scalp, will be in 20min.
Trade active:
Ok, so on 4h I see bearish divergence for short term..
Also volume buying power fits to 4200-5500 zone price!! this is bearish for mid term..

The new signal will be updated here:
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