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Bitcoin (BTC) - December 7

BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
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(XBTUSD 1W Chart) - Mid-Long-Term Perspective
Above the 27650.0-29350.0 section: An uptrend expected to continue.

Above 47010.0 point: Expected to create a new wave.


In order to accelerate the uptrend, it is expected that the CCI line must rise above the EMA line in the CCI-RC indicator.


(1D chart)
First resistance section: 60811.0-63634.5
Second resistance section: near the 72104.0 point

First support section: near 55164.5 point
Second support section: 46695.0-49518.0


We need to see if we can find support in the second support zone and move above the 50876.0 point.


A decline from the 45211.0 point will likely lead to a drop near the 38225.0 point, so we need to think about how to deal with it.


It needs to move above the 53976.5 point to turn into a short-term uptrend.


The next volatility period is around December 27th.

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(ETHUSDT 1D Chart)
First resistance section: near 5008.79 point
Second resistance section: 5553.35-5825.64

First support section: near point 3343.06
Second support section: 2275.68-2531.05


On the CCI-RC indicator around December 7th (December 6-8), we need to see if the CCI line can rise above the +100 point and above the EMA line.


An important point to continue the uptrend is the 4220.37 point.

Therefore, it is necessary to check whether the 4191.93-4464.22 section can support and rise.


A decline from the 3885.52 point could lead to a drop near the 3343.06 point, so you need to think about how to deal with it.


In the CCI-RC indicator, the CCI line fell below the EMA line and crossed more than 3 times.

Accordingly, if the CCI line and the EMA line cross at this time, it should rise above the EMA line and be maintained.

Otherwise, I would expect large volatility as the EMA line moves below the +100 point.

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Since the indicator consists of a formula of price and volume, changes appear later than movements in price and volume.

Therefore, it is good to use it to check whether the current price and volume movements are moving as expected.

I explained further below the analysis, but it is for the sake of understanding that the indicator moved like this and that the current price and volume moved like this.

I think indicators are a necessary tool to confirm your thoughts when it is difficult to understand the movement or direction of price and volume.

You may or may not use indicators.

If you can quickly organize your thoughts by using indicators, it is better to use indicators.


It can be a race against time when making trades, so you need to have good judgment.

However, if you have established and carried out all countermeasures for ups and downs before proceeding with the first trade, you can proceed with better trades.

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(BTCUSDTPERP 1D Chart)
First resistance section: 62697.4-65574.9
Second resistance section: near point 74207.2

First support section: near 56942.5 point
Second support section: near the 48310.2-51187.6 point


You need to check if you can get support and rise in the second support zone.


If it falls from the 47000 point, it could fall again near the 39677.8 point, so you need to think about how to deal with it.


In order to transition into an uptrend, the price must rise above the 53233.1 point to hold the price.


The next volatility period is around December 18th.

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(Market Cap Chart)
You should see how the flow of money changes rather than changes in the price chart.
So, you should check the trend of USDT chart and USDC chart.

(If the USDT and USDC charts are in an uptrend, the coin market is expected to continue the uptrend.)


It is necessary to check whether the same movement as section A is displayed on the USDT.D chart.

Therefore, we expect movement around the week that includes December 13th.

It remains to be seen whether a drop below the 2.910 point will lead to an uptrend, or a move above the 3.374 point for a short-term downtrend.


If the following phenomena do not occur, the coin market is expected to maintain an upward trend.

Prelude to a downtrend in the coin market
- BTC price drop
- BTC dominance rise
- USDT dominance rise

In that sense
BTC Dominance (BTC,D): Should rise above the 47.64-48.81 section.
USDT Dominance (USDT.D): Must rise above 3.374 point.


A phenomenon that can be seen as a change in the coin market to a downtrend
- USDT Chart: Falling below 58.376B
- USDC Chart: Falling below 23.858B
- BTC.D chart: rise above 56.78 points
- USDT.D chart: rise above 4.158 point

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(XBTUSD 1M Chart) - Big Trend
All patterns and waves can be known when they are completed, so it is best to conduct a trade that matches your average unit price rather than a trade based on prediction.

Looking at the big picture, I think 4-5 waves are going on.


Depending on how you interpret section A, the wave may be different.
Likewise, you need to be more careful in your trading, because the parts that have not yet been created may have the same flow as section A.

The expected ascent section is near the 80574.0-83397.0 section.
This is an expected value considering the fluctuation range that has risen from the 1st section to the 2nd section.

There are two large resistance intervals to move up to the expected level.
The two large resistance sections are sections a and b.

If it fails to break through section a upward, I think it can represent the same flow as section A.


If it rises above the 72104.0 point with this rise, it is expected that it will not fall below the 26K-29K section (maximum 21K section) even if a bear market continues.

If the 38K section is touched, it is expected to lead to a sharp rise.

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We recommend that you trade with your average unit price.
This is because, if the price is below your average unit price, whether the price trend is in an upward trend or a downward trend, there is a high possibility that you will not be able to get a big profit due to the psychological burden.

The center of all trading starts with the average unit price at which you start trading.
If you ignore this, you may be trading in the wrong direction.

Therefore, it is important to find a way to lower the average unit price and adjust the proportion of the investment, ultimately allowing the funds corresponding to the profits to be able to regenerate themselves.

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** All indicators are lagging indicators.
Therefore, it is important to be aware that the indicator moves accordingly with the movement of price and volume.
However, for convenience, we are talking in reverse for the interpretation of the indicator.
** The MRHAB-O and MRHAB-B indicators used in the chart are indicators of our channel that have not been released yet.
(Since it was not disclosed, you can use this chart without any restrictions by sharing this chart and copying and pasting the indicators.)
** The wRSI_SR indicator is an indicator created by adding settings and options to the existing Stochastic RSI indicator.
Therefore, the interpretation is the same as the traditional Stochastic RSI indicator. (K, D line -> R, S line)
** The OBV indicator was re-created by applying a formula to the DepthHouse Trading indicator, an indicator disclosed by oh92. (Thanks for this.)
** Support or resistance is based on the closing price of the 1D chart.
** All descriptions are for reference only and do not guarantee a profit or loss in investment.

(Short-term Stop Loss can be said to be a point where profit and loss can be preserved or additional entry can be made through split trading. It is a short-term investment perspective.)

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[Example of exchange chart setup]

(Binance)
www.tradingview.com/x/S94aDxa8

(Upbit)
www.tradingview.com/x/DF6cGh3G/
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