peter-l

Iron-hit sets, flowing leeks?

BITMEX:XBTUSD.P   Bitcoin
Yesterday, the market rebounded, suddenly took me back to October 2019.
At that time, because china's top officials held a blockchain development conference. The market has broken down the situation, there has been a super rebound market, 2 days up more than 3000 dollars.
This time it was the People's Bank of China that tested cbdc, once again bringing a rebound to the market.
The background is almost the same on both occasions, and the operating path is very similar.
It's just that this time the level is smaller, like a miniature version.
Let's take a look at the comparison:
First, both markets have a rebound after the formation of the macd bottom divergence, but this time the level is lower, occurring in the 4-hour chart, the last time occurred in the daily chart.
Second, they all form a drop channel, get support on the lower rail, then bounce back, and all break the upward pressure.
Third, it's all lagging speculation. The last time the news came out in the afternoon, but it didn't bounce back until 8 p.m.
This time it was the day before that there was an internal test, but it was only the next day that it began to bounce back.
This means that the funds are not on-site, but are mobilized off-site, so transfer time is required.
I want to hype the way so much, the dealer is so few, but the memory of leeks only 7 seconds. Let's think about a few things:
If Bitcoin's bull market is based on "half-in-the-time bulls", what is the current news stimulus? If it is really a bull market, wouldn't it hit the face and "halve the cow"?
If the hype comes from the off-field, will they stay for long-term investment after the hype?
If the Chinese government explicitly bans the issuance and speculation of digital currencies without China's permission, can companies such as eos, which have already issued money, participate in the construction of cbdc? If they allow it, will China change its regulatory policy?

Conclusion: If you break through the previous high of 7450 points, the short-term rebound continues to 7800-8400 USD, if you can't break through, you may return to the original downward trend

30年的A股投资经历,水平虽然不高,但经验足够丰富。熊市避坑,牛市逃顶,对于新手可能有所帮助。
需要每日分析,请搜索微信号peter-tqbj,需要股市投资建议搜索星球{抱团取暖,迎接A股牛市},或者星球号64802450
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