Playj

Thinking long but after that kinda bounce expect pull back

KRAKEN:BTCUSD   Bitcoin
There was a few major things I was looking for to call it the bottom.
1 Vol climax which we defiantly got
2 A break lower on our previous low of rsi . So the previous leg down 9 5 got to around 25 and you can see in the last major pull back or bear market what ever you wanna call it we had a low on the rsi then the bottom rsi low was lower than the previous leg back on 6 15 we got to a 25 area and at the bottom on 7 16 we got down to 22 rsi. I did put a red horizontal line which was the low rsi which I needed to be broken which did occur
3 The third thing I noticed was both down markets were signaled by bearish rsi divergences which i was able to draw a trend lin and once that line was broken we had an up move from 1800 to 5000. The trend line was from 5 25 and crossed on 7 20. So I did the same thing on this most recent move and you can see that the trend line was broken on 9 15. Its the red rsi trend line which started 9 1 and crossed 9 15.
4 This is where I missing what I would of liked to see. on 5 25 I also drew a trend line on the bearish divergence which occurred on the mac d and it crossed on 7 18. You can see I also drew that trend line on the first indication of bearish divergence on the mac d starting 8 15 and yo can see that mac d got so low that it has not made it back to that trend line yet.

For me personally I want this to be bottom but I think we still have a big fight ahead of us and until I see this mac d lines get much higher I'm not set that this is bottom. Based on getting 3 out of 4 its probably just a matter of time before we cross that mac d but it is one more conformation I am looking for.

Also because of how great the loss was and how big the bounce was there could def be better entries for a long position in the future but scaling in some now def wouldn't be a terrible idea but I think we need to retestthis low again and confirm this up trend


url= ]

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.