A quick update here to dissect the possible motives behind the exchange and cast some light over the possible technical targets in the sequence.
In order to dig deeper into the pursuit of position exchange, we shall in what follows highlight the occupation of zones for strategical importance and the apparent desire to exchange sides will fall into our lap like a ripe fruit.
The simplest example would be as in the following diagram - The Waiting Game:
Bears wish to occupy the zone, in order to deliver a breakdown on the lows; but as they tried the move from an overextended and crowded position, buyers had time to prevent them doing so. The correct move in the lows was always to get long, leaving sellers no time to protect against the squeeze, because he will have to overcome the psychological feeling of retreat and recapture.
In the latest chart indicated via "Marching Troops Towards The Border" you will see the exchange:
We also now destroy the sellers because we recognise the importance of geopolitical risk entering back into the room. In the simplest case it is a technical defence of material value; every defender can be seen handsomely rewarded. From the Bakkt lows, we have come to recognise various resistance above preventing the momentum; these following levels will aid to an impulsive leg and trigger a breakout etc: 7500 => 8400 => 13600 .
It is worth striving to destroy these levels in any case, but the concept of "risk" via US-Iran goes much further. You can also defend a hedge against governments (e.g People vs Establishment narrative) or defend yourself against risk-off flows on the approach. See attached Gold and JPY ideas for "Protection" the plays as follows:
Gold:
JPY:
Because of the current themes, the macro protects and secures a wide stretch of the flows and territory. Your urge to destroy the resistance above in BTC should extend with Geo-political risk, in the narrower or broader sense. Eyes on the momentum breakout coming in 2020.
Good luck all those buying dips in BTC.
In order to dig deeper into the pursuit of position exchange, we shall in what follows highlight the occupation of zones for strategical importance and the apparent desire to exchange sides will fall into our lap like a ripe fruit.
The simplest example would be as in the following diagram - The Waiting Game:
Bears wish to occupy the zone, in order to deliver a breakdown on the lows; but as they tried the move from an overextended and crowded position, buyers had time to prevent them doing so. The correct move in the lows was always to get long, leaving sellers no time to protect against the squeeze, because he will have to overcome the psychological feeling of retreat and recapture.
In the latest chart indicated via "Marching Troops Towards The Border" you will see the exchange:
We also now destroy the sellers because we recognise the importance of geopolitical risk entering back into the room. In the simplest case it is a technical defence of material value; every defender can be seen handsomely rewarded. From the Bakkt lows, we have come to recognise various resistance above preventing the momentum; these following levels will aid to an impulsive leg and trigger a breakout etc: 7500 => 8400 => 13600 .
It is worth striving to destroy these levels in any case, but the concept of "risk" via US-Iran goes much further. You can also defend a hedge against governments (e.g People vs Establishment narrative) or defend yourself against risk-off flows on the approach. See attached Gold and JPY ideas for "Protection" the plays as follows:
Gold:
JPY:
Because of the current themes, the macro protects and secures a wide stretch of the flows and territory. Your urge to destroy the resistance above in BTC should extend with Geo-political risk, in the narrower or broader sense. Eyes on the momentum breakout coming in 2020.
Good luck all those buying dips in BTC.
Comment:
...and we are breaking up
