XECUSD: This rise may be a trap.

XECUSD turned bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.865, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 22.430) as it is having the strongest 1D candle since June 30th. By doing so it hit both the 1D MA50 and MA200.

However the long term pattern remains a Channel Down since more than a year and that can only change it the Rectangle that has emerged since January, prevails. We can't know that yet but we do know that the 0.618 Fibonacci level inside the Channel has been the most common buy entry since June 2022. Consequently we are untouched by today's rise and will wait for that buy opportunity lower.

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