AlfonsoMoreno

Exxon Mobil supply and demand analysis forecast

Short
NYSE:XOM   Exxon Mobil
Exxon Mobil Corporation #XOM Exxon explores for and produces crude oil and natural gas. As of December 31, 2018, it had approximately 24,696 net operated wells with proved reserves of 24.3 billion oil-equivalent barrels.

Exxon stock clear downtrend. With Light Crude Oil and Brent dropping like a rock, many oil related stocks like Exxon Mobil Corporation have been showing a bearish directional bias with long term shorts and new monthly supply imbalances being created and respected for months as can be seen in the monthly timeframe supply and demand technical analysis below.

We read about “buy” recommendations not long ago, that was crazy! Those recommendations were probably focused on the price of oil as the reason the share price is down, with an assumption that it will go back up. Cray stuff if you lean purely on fundamentals and earnings, everything is pointing down and downtrending, why buy this stock? Think about it! It is all about the XOM price (cheap in the eyes of those urging “buy”) and an assumption that the price of oil is almost the only relevant determinant of future success of XOM.

Two major negatives for Exxon Mobil Corporation currently are competition from renewables and new focus on the climate emergency. Investors might think hard before they assume that the new 10-year low for Exxon Mobile XOM share price is where the slide stops.

Using a supply and demand strategy and applying the core concepts on Exxon Mobile yields another outcome. Monthly is downtrending, new supply level being created on the monthly timeframe around $68 per share as a continuation of a monthly downtrend and created also as a continuation of prior monthly supply imbalance from $80 per share.

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