Xanthus

A Ripple in the Cycle

Xanthus Updated   
POLONIEX:XRPBTC   XRP / Bitcoin
Hello, here you can see Ripple and a projection for the future. If you look at the last time Ripple did a major top and low, you can see that it took 80+114 days= 194, we could attribute this to 200D and initially I thought so, but it doesn't make sense as XRP hasn't shown much activity around 100D cycles. But what is observed is 233 days, and if we add the number of days it needs to complete a 233D cycle its 39 days. Alright, so I added 233 days, the date that proceeds is shown on the chart as green. If we then substract 270 days from the projected low that proceeds we get the previous major cyclical low.

So the 2 dates outlined are the dates of interest

Green= Potential buying opportunity
Red= Potential Selling opportunity (More updates on this one later)

As the last 2 major cycles we're in a raging bull market it will be hard to tell how price will react, if it will be just a few weeks of massive green candles or a more slow approach (ending in massive green candles).

Note: These days should be viewed as opportunities, look for strengths that can indicate a trend reversal. Also this doesn't have to be an exact precise prediction, it could take 275 days as before the first massive run-up (see bottom chart).
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These numbers are ofcourse not random, 233 is a fibonacci number and 270 days can be attributed to the Zodiac and the moon. You can check out the EOS Analysis for more information

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So its the 222nd day since the last major cyclical top, 222 days prior to that was the major crash low of its previous runup. This is no guarrantee that anything will happen but it's advisable to not short at this point and instead look for some strengths. The 4h for example shows a triangle being formed (which could break either way)
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222nd day and XRP closed green as a dragonfly and is bouncing, took on a small long.
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It's nice to see XRP Bounce here but keep in mind that the projected date is September 4 2018. Keep watching price action
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Almost there, I think the market will pick up this fall. Seems that BTC found a nice bottom at 6k repeating April's tune with shorts yet again at an ATH and many other indicators mirroring a similar state in as in April. In terms of Cycles Bitcoin has a good probability of breaking out on the 26th.
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11 Days left till the 4th of September. Not sure what is going to happen exactly, we might still see a massive capitulation. If you're not a leverage trader, now would definitely be a very good time to start Dollar Cost averaging in. I bought some ripple yesterday (small quantity). I will likely purchase the rest on the 3th and 4th of September.

Going to have to see what happens from there, I've put the 1st of October 2018 as a projected sell date based on previous information. Though since the market has just come from a pretty big correction I doubt that Ripple will make such a huge run-up in a few weeks that it will come tumbling straight down after that like it's done before. Possibly the date will still be a selling opportunity, but the pattern could change and a new buying opportunity could present itself rather quickly.

the 1st of october -270 days leads to the last major cyclical top at which Ripple was something like 3 dollars. The same numbers keep appearing in all the ALTcoins. I'm actually looking at the 10th of October as a possible buying opportunity but it's to early to get into that. Let's first see what happens this September.
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Reminder: Only 2 days left, september 4th. If you haven't marked your calender or w/e you use, I suggest you do it now.
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So XRP bounced from the .862 fib level which would be indicative of finishing a wave 2 correction and starting a wave 3 up. It's a bit out there but you never know with crypto. I can imagine it hitting 10$ or perhaps even more if this turns out to be true. Wave structure is for show only and does not indicate a target or date.
Trade active
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I think it's necessary to say that if you've held trough this market don't sell at points where it's tempting to break-even. Wave 3 is not something you'd want to miss. Rather you'd take profit in wave 4 and 5.
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Blue rectangle = preferrential buy zone between .786 fib retracement and .862 retracement. 0.000044988 and 43827
Orange line = .862 fib retracement from the top of 0.0002298 and the low of 0.00001196

stoploss for this trade can be placed up to 10% below 0.0000417 which is 0.00003753

Target= ''in orbit''
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I made a mistake; .862 is not a fibonacci level but .886 is, from the square root of .786. Price action is more important anyway.
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I hope all of you got a nice entry and didn't sell yet. Stoploss can be put under the recent low. Make sure it's in a safe distance for a possible retest/stophunt.
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To be fair, I don't have a lot of confidence in this trade working out.
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XRP is taking on a bounce which took place overnight between the 5th and the 6th, about 1-2 days later from the projected date(271/272 Days), which again is a bit sloppy but considering the large timeframe I'm addressing it's not the end of the world. EOS also bounced 1 day after or before the projected date but did make a higher high after that. Nothing is for sure yet but let's see what XRP does and in hindsight we'll call this trade a success or not.

For now, foranyone that is in the trade, Keep the stoplosses under the recent low.

Hopefully this is as usefull to you as it is to me. And you got to seize the opportunity with me.
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Let me know in the comments what you think about this trade, if you have any questions aswell, let me know in the comments.
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So looking at the 1h for a little perspective on what price is exactly doing you can see that it made an extension to almost the 1.618 which is a good indication that this was wave 3. I'm not a pro at fib levels or elliot waves so excuse the rough edges if there are any. Hopefully we'll get to see a wave 5, where that lands is a question to anyone. Also, Hopefully, we'll get to see this RIPPLE'ING out to the major timeframes.

I got no idea what's going on with BTC atm, the flash crash suprised anyone although I did have a short in which I unfortnately closed when it broke 7400. The reason I shorted was because BTC made a 25% rally from the low of 5858,6 but just as with cycles this isn't always a perfect 25%, it can be 26% for example and that makes a world of difference. So I've changed up the strategy a little for 25% to set it as a close target for any long position I hold. Then continue to look for weaknesses in price. This is not my own idea and I'll give credit where credit is due. www.youtube.com/user/garyids This gentlemen does an excellent job at percentuel mathematics for entries. And if you are interested in Gann's techniques, this channel is likely to be your best resource to get started with advanced Gann.

What I can say about BTC is that aslong as BAKKT plans to launch whatever they are launching for BTC continues you should hold and not sell. You should be comfortably buying at these levels, no matter what other people's opinions are. BAKKT is going to drive a lot of buyers into crypto and that's likely just what this market needs. I see a lot of people, some really smart people waiting for full capitulation, and I can't tell if that will/won't happen. The information that is available is enough to safely say that you can make a good bet buying BTC at these levels and altcoins and sell them at a higher price next year.

I Hope we can knifecatch Litecoin later this september aswell ;)
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LTC 3 days left, thought it was september 14th or something.

One more thing for Ripple, 28th of September is the Futures settlement date for XRP on BitMex. Which is also 45 Days (90/2) from the 222nd day low I described earlier in this post. From past history in this downtrend, XRP usually makes a top around this settlement date. If I am correct in this being a full blown trend reversal for the major timeframes then I expect a low to be made around this date (so reverse of what's the usual for the downtrend).

If you're superduper interested in what I'm saying. I'm open to teach some cyclical stuff for a small donation of you're own liking. I'm no expert but I can give you some clues as what to look for, what numbers, dates and some other stuff I haven't shared publicly yet. Hence the donation.
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6* days left for LTC. Sorry about that.
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Don't let the market scare you out. If there was ever a time to buy, it's now. Remember that BTC is getting listed with BAKKT on the NYSE. Price=Future expectations. We clearly see it reflected in the market that people's expectations of the future are low and uncertain. If you look at what's happening outside of the market there's plenty to suggest that there will be another run-up quite soon.

Just Dollar cost average in if you're unsure. I don't think 3k is a realistic target. A little bird told me that in case the market does drop lower $4750 is where you can expect a bounce. I calculated $4900,- for a bounce IF it get's there. Doesn't mean it will even go there. www.youtube.com/watch?v=avcS0aYJ...
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Sadly, XRP broke support. Lets see what happens but I think its safe to say the cyclical analysis has been proven wrong. It did gave a few nice runups and entries but the trend obviously is much stronger. Hence I've said that they are opportunities and price action is still #1 for trading.

I'm holding what I have though, I still believe things will pick up later this year or next year.
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In my opinion the market is clearly picking up in strength. I hope you enjoyed this analysis and got the best entry you could wish for. If you'd like to buy me a coffee or something to show your appreciation.

BTC address 3M8hJHVMLfSyAxRmFDf2RuXvZbVeML2NE5
ETH address 0xcE4adBe52C417222566C7D71e53A5bBd8c9617A4
LTC address LSRNoeL3AZfxYdzyieekZSTFhG78vzaoSc
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An exact low wasn't catched with this method, yet it remains accurate enough for anyone who buys & holds. I am confident that the bear market is done for.

Check out this ICO I like www.Xaya.io - True blockchain gaming. I feel it will be a big hit within the cryptocommunity and beyond. Buying and selling of digital assets is already popular, but legally grey and most gaming corps don't like it and forbid it. No more though!
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Oh my...
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Well I hope that the few followers I have bought in around the time I told them to be interested, didn't sell and didn't get stopped out. Let me know in the comments how it's going for you if you took this call.
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Oh and just to let you know the red vertical line indicating a sell date was invalidated. I'll give an update on that tomorrow.
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Wish I bought more. I'm looking at the 8th of October, but really. I have no clue, this rally can be brief, this rally can last for the rest of 2019. I really don't know and I'm not going to give any sell date or idea of selling since I truely honestly don't know. Atleast everyone who followed this call bought in low so I'd advice to just watch price action. maybe something like a spinning top followed by a red candle would be convincing.

According to Jesse Livermore (I think I mentioend this in the EOS analysis, not sure) Every bullmarket has it's new favourite stock and the old dominant stocks. And sometimes The favourite will try to flip or challenge the dominant stock. (Ether-BTC in 2017 as an example.)

I stand by my case. THIS IS A BULL MARKET. I thought it would be EOS, but it looks like XRP is going to lead and stay dominant for the rest of the bull season. Even Bitcoin is having its struggles moving up.

Only +109% untill XRP beats its ATH in satoshi's. I didn't expect this, but the market seldomly does what you expect. I think I even said I didn't have that much confidence in the trade anymore earlier on when it set a new low in satoshi's.
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Buy the dip targets:
0.00008775
0.000078039
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These targets become invalidated if XRP sets a new high
Trade closed: stop reached
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