The Bear Market Isn't Coming? Old BTC Playbook is a TrapFor years, traders have relied on Bitcoin's predictable cycles. We look for the same clues, the same topping signals, and the same patterns. But what if the market has evolved? What if the playbook we've all been studying is now a trap?
This analysis dives deep into key indicators across all three
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QE and YCC: What does it all mean?ECONOMICS:USCBBS
CBOT:ZB1! CBOT:ZN1! CME_MINI:NQ1!
There is growing market speculation that the Fed may tolerate inflation above 2% for longer, consistent with its Average Inflation Targeting (AIT) framework introduced in 2020.
This also implies that real rates i.e., nominal rates minus
EURUSD: Rally from Wedge Support to 1.1880Hello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Euro setup.
Market Analysis
A prior uptrend failed, leading to a sharp drop down to the major Support zone 2 around the 1.1450 level. However, strong buying pressure emerged from that low, initiating a powerful reversal and establishing the cu
BTC Breakdown: Watching 112.6K-113.5K for Rejection Toward 109kHello guys!
Trend Structure:
The price was moving in a clear ascending channel, but recently broke down below the lower boundary with strong bearish momentum. This confirms a structural shift from bullish to bearish sentiment.
Current Price Action:
After the breakdown, BTC attempted a relief rally
XAUUSD Long: Bullish Momentum to ContinueHello, traders! The price auction for XAUUSD has been in a strong bullish phase, confirmed by the establishment of a well-defined ascending channel. This uptrend was initiated after a breakout from lower levels and has shown significant strength by pushing through multiple prior resistance areas, in
Bear market has startedThe End of the Bull Cycle. Why I'm Selling Everything and Won't Buy Again Until September 2026.
For the last year and a half, I have said that we are in a bull market. I never once changed my opinion. But all things come to an end. The time has come.
September 13, 2025, the date I have been ment
IPO Market Is Hot – Explore Winners, Losers & Listing CandidatesThe IPO market has woken up from its multi-year nap and is now in beast mode. But as always, Wall Street’s hottest party comes with an entrance fee and a dose of uncertainty – opaque prices, sketchy balance sheets, and a whole lot of FOMO.
So who’s winning, who’s losing, and who’s still waiting in
INDV - Helping Trump Fight The Drug War In The US and Overseas.Thought this was a good example of the kind of stock I like to trade.
Not all of these have to be true to make it tradable. Just things I like to see.
Up over 100% over the last 12 months
Nice and steady price gains continuing to make higher highs
Had a good bump on earnings
Has had a recent
Nvidia Returns to Yearly Highs on Temporary Boost in ConfidenceNvidia’s stock started the week with a gain of more than 4%, maintaining a steady bullish bias after it was announced that the company will invest over $100 billion in OpenAI to support the development of artificial intelligence infrastructure. As part of the agreement, Nvidia is expected to receive
Supreme Court ruling could lift gold further Gold has climbed $410 over the past four weeks, reaching ~$3,750 today after an additional ~$60 gain.
The combination of political risk, questions over central bank independence, and robust technical momentum has positioned gold as one of the best performing assets.
The Supreme Court has appare
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Trend Following: How to Ride Waves Without Getting Washed OutMarkets move in waves. Easy, right? But if you’ve tried catching one only to find out you get washed out, you’ve realized it ain’t’ that easy.
Sometimes there are gentle ripples that lull traders into boredom, other times they’re tsunamis that wipe out everything in sight.
The trick isn’t predict
Losses = Tuition Money? How Much Have You Paid?Everyone loves to show their wins.
But the other side – losses – is rarely talked about. Yet they’re often the real teacher.
👉 The question few dare to ask:
How much tuition have you already paid to reach where you are today?
My Experience
For me, it was a very long road.
In my early years, I los
Trading is Hard: Lessons From the Market's BrutalityTrading is Hard: Lessons From the Market's Brutality
Woke up today to news that reminds us just how unforgiving this game is:
“In the past 24 hours, over 404,000 traders were liquidated, with total liquidations reaching $1.7 billion. The largest single liquidation order was a $12.74 million COIN
Explaining the Lower Timeframe Function and Its Role in Trading Introduction
Candlesticks on higher timeframes summarize long periods of trading activity, but they hide the internal balance of buying and selling. A daily candle, for instance, may show only a strong close, while in reality buyers and sellers may have fought much more evenly. To uncover this hidd
MARKET PROFILE🔸🔸🔸 1 - Back to the Roots: Learn the Theory, Improve Signal 🔸🔸🔸
Becoming a successful trader starts with building a strong foundation of knowledge. This foundation comes from time spent in the markets and real experience. While the basic idea is easy to understand, actually building this solid bas
Understanding Elliott Wave Theory with BTC/USD If you’ve ever stared at a Bitcoin chart and thought, “ This looks like chaos ”, Ralph Nelson Elliott might disagree with you. Back in the 1930s, Elliott proposed that markets aren’t just random squiggles — they actually move in recognizable rhythms. This became known as Elliott Wave Theory .
So,
The Stop-Loss Dilemma: Tight vs. Loose and When to Use EachToday we talk about stop losses. Love them or hate them, but don’t forget them, especially when things get wild out there.
Some traders think of them as the trading equivalent of a safety net: you hope you’ll never need it, but when you slip off the tightrope, you’re grateful it’s there to catch y
How to Close a Losing Trade?Cutting losses is an art, and a losing trader is an artist.
Closing a losing position is an important skill in risk management. When you are in a losing trade, you need to know when to get out and accept the loss. In theory, cutting losses and keeping your losses small is a simple concept, but in
Cocoa, Sugar, Coffee & Cotton Rotation📌 The Soft Commodities Super Guide: Cocoa, Sugar, Coffee & Cotton
Soft commodities — crops grown rather than mined — are among the oldest traded goods in human history. From cocoa beans once used as currency in Central America, to cotton powering textile revolutions, to sugar driving global trade a
Revealing The Secrets Of Pro Traders👋Hello everyone, if you’re just starting out with trading, this post is for you.
Trading can be exciting, but if you’re not careful, you’ll quickly become prey. Here are 5 common mistakes beginners often make:
1. Opening Too Many Positions At Once
When I first started, I thought using high l
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INDV - Helping Trump Fight The Drug War In The US and Overseas.Thought this was a good example of the kind of stock I like to trade.
Not all of these have to be true to make it tradable. Just things I like to see.
Up over 100% over the last 12 months
Nice and steady price gains continuing to make higher highs
Had a good bump on earnings
Has had a recent
NIKE BREAKDOWN (NKE)...POTENTIAL LONG OPPORTUNITYHey hey Tradingview family!!! Joseph here AKA JosePips! Just wanted to come on this week and do a breakdown on the company Nike & what I see technically potentially happening next on this stock! In this video you will get a in depth breakdown of
1. Overall price action structure/context
2. Momentu
NFP "Goldilocks" playbook? EURUSD triggers revealed!Markets are optimistic and consolidating ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, with EUR/USD poised for a breakout, plus a quick technical overview of gold, GBP/USD, and USD/JPY.
Mood : Buoyant—risk assets and equities are near weekly highs, bond yields are easing.
Consensus : A "Goldilocks
MOMENTUM...THE CHARTS BIGGEST CLUES...IT'S A RECEIPT :)GUYS!! I gave some heat in this educational video! Talking about momentum and how to properly read the charts. I KNOW this will change your trading and life if you guys apply this to your analysis. So please watch the video to the end. Simple but powerful
and show some love if this brought any valu
Amazon Chart CheckOn the weekly chart, Amazon looks like it’s starting to tire a bit. Price is struggling just under that January high near 24,252.
Looking at the Ichimoku Cloud:
• In mid-2023, price broke strongly above the cloud and bounced cleanly higher after retests.
• More recently (spring 2025), we had a decen
CM - The Best Method I’ve Found For Finding - Stocks That MOVE!!Today I want to show you The Best Method I’ve Found to Create a list of Stocks to find the most profitable stocks to TRADE consistently.
Please leave a comment below if:
You find this video useful.
You have any questions.
You want me to do a video on how I built the screeners shown in the v
Cable & Fibre!So, generally I'm happy with the way the market is going. Though a little bit uncertain about how high it wants to go before it resumes its downward spiral, things are going good so far.
Looking at Cable, on an hourly chart, we see that between 06:00 am and 08:00 am (New York Time), there is FVG fo
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FiniteStateMachine🟩 OVERVIEW
A flexible framework for creating, testing and implementing a Finite State Machine (FSM) in your script. FSMs use rules to control how states change in response to events.
This is the first Finite State Machine library on TradingView and it's quite a different way to think about your
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Trading Activity Index (Zeiierman) is a volume-based market activity meter that transforms dollar-volume into a smooth, normalized “activity index.”
It highlights when market participation is unusually low or high with a dynamic color gradient:
Light Blue → Low Activity (thin p
Expected Value Monte CarloI created this indicator after noticing that there was no Expected Value indicator here on TradingView.
The EVMC provides statistical Expected Value to what might happen in the future regarding the asset you are analyzing.
It uses 2 quantitative methods:
Historical Backtest to ground your anal
Bar Index & TimeLibrary to convert a bar index to a timestamp and vice versa.
Utilizes runtime memory to store the 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎 and 𝚝𝚒𝚖𝚎_𝚌𝚕𝚘𝚜𝚎 values of every bar on the chart (and optional future bars), with the ability of storing additional custom values for every chart bar.
█ PREFACE
This library aims to tackle s
Liquidity Void Detector (Zeiierman)█ Overview
Liquidity Void Detector (Zeiierman) is an oscillator highlighting inefficient price displacements under low participation. It measures the most recent price move (standardized return) and amplifies it only when volume is below its own trend.
Positive readings ⇒ strong up-move
DeltaFlow Volume Profile [BigBeluga]🔵 OVERVIEW
The DeltaFlow Volume Profile builds a compact volume profile next to price and enriches every bin with flow context : bullish vs. bearish participation (%), a per-bin Delta % , an optional Delta Heat Map , and a PoC band with the bin’s absolute volume. This lets you see not just
Volume by Time [LuxAlgo]The Volume by Time indicator collects volume data for every point in time over the day and displays the average volume of the specific dataset collected at each respective bar.
The indicator overlays the current volume and the historical average to allow for better comparisons.
🔶 USAGE
Thr
FlowScope [Hapharmonic]FlowScope: Uncover the Market's True Intent 🔬
Ever wished you could look inside the candles and see where the real action is happening? FlowScope is your microscope for the market's flow, designed to give you a powerful edge by revealing the volume distribution that price action alone can't sh
VWAP Price ChannelVWAP Price Channel cuts the crust off of a traditional price channel (Donchian Channel) by anchoring VWAPs at the highs and lows. By doing this, the flat levels, characteristic of traditional Donchian Channels, are no more!
Author's Note: This indicator is formed with no inherent use, and serves
Fibonacci Sequence Circles [BigBeluga]🔵 Overview
The Fibonacci Sequence Circles is a unique and visually intuitive indicator designed for the TradingView platform. It combines the principles of the Fibonacci sequence with geometric circles to help traders identify potential support and resistance levels, as well as price expansio
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