We compare a BTC baggy speculator to a largely diversified fund. We assume risk rewards are the same and on 1 side the BTC baggy takes 2 huge trades over a 2 year period, the diversified fund has 200 positions in total, in bacthes of 10 that are held approximately 10 weeks each. This is quite similar to reality. I also compare the 2 time BTC gambler to a...
This topic has not to my knowledge been covered on Tradingview before now. I specifically explore ' unethical trading representations' and explain in the limited time what that means as a concept. To be absolutely clear, I am not asserting that every paid-for service or representation is unethical or illegal. What I am saying is that new traders and the...
We all come to trading for freedom, financial freedom, free of work, trade whenever and wherever we want to... Now, everyone told you that you must be disciplined in order to be profitable from trading. Can you do it? Instead of discipline, you should be responsible... Yes, Responsibilities will change your trading. You are responsible for protecting your...
Everybody - I mean everybody - who is actively trading has to make decisions. Entry points, exit points, trailing stops, stop-losses and so on - they all involve decisions. But what affects the integrity of our decision-making ? Some say we don't need to make decisions, once we follow a mechanical trading plan. I disagree 100%. If everybody could follow a...
what happens if you have a 1:1.5 risk reward ratio(means if you win you won 1/5% of your balance if you lose you lost1% of your balance) and doing 2 trade via any strategy that you prefer in a day (means your open trades should not be more than 2 at the same time). at the end of the month, you do 40 trades so we see below what happens(20 days * 2 trades = 40...
In this screencast, I review my ideas on luck, chance and risk. I do not depend on luck, hope or targets in my trading. This has appeared rather strange to some I've been in contact with recently. I say that sensible trading for consistent profitability cannot depend on luck. Yes - it involves taking carefully risk-assessed chances and controlling loss. I...
In this screencast I share some of my own personal journey which I suspect may resound with many a struggling trader out there. This post is in keeping with the house rules on text-based analyses, and psychological self-analysis is the biggest most important aspect of trading. It is clearly in the category of 'Beyond Technical Analysis' I had been thinking for...
First, the whole concept is idiotic. If I was an educator and someone came to me and asked about "risk management" "how much time should I spend on it" "what risk management should I have", I'd just slap them :D Here is your risk management plan "don't be an idiot" now go play. Here is what (correct...) trading is: via information gathering (patterns that repeat...
SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY BENEFITS AND RISKS OF TRADING 101 a) Market Action Market Action is determined as the summary of data showing the trading activities in the market, which determines the differentiation between the price of the currency on which profit or loss can be generated. The rate of change in profit and loss is provided in...
There so many random people starting hedge funds & all they have to do is shadow the market and voila, you are a millionaire (this is 100% true), in a batch of thousands of people some are going to be lucky - simply a normal distribution - and get better results and end up billionaires instead of millionaires. They are certainly good at marketing and presentation...
Hey Traders, in this idea we are going to break down step by step, how a professional trader calculates pip value, risk and trade size. The focus of this lesson is aimed towards helping you get an idea of how you can create your own risk management plan in order to remain consistently profitable over a long period of time. You can have the best strategy in the...
In this screencast I present results of a scientific study carried out on day trading, in the Taiwan Stock exchange. I explore some volatile instruments that some day traders may get stung by. The results of the Taiwan study are shocking. Disbelief leads people to argue that 'that's in Taiwan - so what?'. However the results are informative of cognitive and...
This post is modified and re-posted after it was banned (a matter of fact and the truth). Why? I was said to be promoting a broker's website seemingly because by I identified the source of quotation and said that they were being honest. I have now substituted the name the broker with a fictitious ABCXYZ (which is not the name of any broker as far as I am...
As the trading war between the US and China edges closer, as Canada and the US struggle to hash out a NAFTA deal, as emerging currency markets implode, the markets are taking note of such fractious times by behaving based on risk sentiment. What this means is that in the short-term, if one monitors our risk-weighted index, which takes into account 9 risk-sensitive...
In this screencast I focus on 'lean hogs' and the Mexican Peso v Sterling. The core issue is the ranging pattern on the daily time frame (over the periods I'm looking at). In general these two instruments are highly volatile and risky. However, the pattern creates expectations (not predictions). In other posts I pointed out that certain instruments have a...
Was recently shown this little gem of a ratio chart that will help gauge strength to certain markets such as the stocks and other financial instruments as the S&P, Dow Jones etc So what does it all mean?? The ratio of two diametrically opposed asset classes often provides insightful clues about what investors are doing. The XLY:XLP ratio is a perfect example....
This is under the category of 'Beyond Technical Analysis'. It is about systematic risk i.e. something previously unrecognised that causes major upset in markets. What's *UFOs* got to do with this? Just about everything. Your world has been built on a sense of security that we are alone in the universe. People's religious beliefs, their sense of who is in power...
Greetings, I've spent a considerable amount of time trying to find the magic formula to stay profitable, I've read books, I've heard speeches, I've talked to pros, and I've stayed profitable, BUT... I've also lost quite a bit, I tried coding my strategy to see how it would really perform without sentiments, as executed by a machine and I was really suprised, no...