The world in general, and fertilizer prices in particular, are alleged to be going to Hell in a handcart. Infernal scenarios aside, a mean-reversion buy in soybeans off the bottom of the current trend channel could make sense. Beans have been a bit volatile lately, so watch this trade if you make it.
Trend Analysis The main view of this trade idea is on the 15 Min Chart. There appears to be a completed head and shoulders price pattern on the commodity Wheat. The left shoulder is around the low of 750.38, the head made a low of 750.38 and the right shoulder made a low of 757. The pattern is not at its original designation however appears to be a positive sign...
Soybeans have been on a tear for over a month now. Apparently weather is to blame around the world. Too much rain in some countries and too little rain in others. China has just released tons of Soybean from their reserve supplies to help fill the growing gap. Word is it's going to be Mid March at least before there could be any relief. By then, I believe my...
Hello and welcome, we are looking for a strong move higher in wave (3)
Fundamentals: The coffee Market has been in a strong bullish trend ever since a frost hit the brazil coffee belt in July / August 2021, followed by a period of drought. This left the world´s biggest producer of Arabica coffee with huge productivity losses for the 2021/2022 crop. That results in a really tight Arabica balance sheet for 2022, which could get worse...
Entry on 8 Feb with SL on same day low Today trailing stop at neckline 245
Money supply expansion is like roaches. It goes everywhere you don't want, and nobody can control it. Plotted here is the money supply to futures ratio of soy, wheat, corn, and sugar. We have the potential to see a massive increase in food speculation, simply because it's not risky. When equities burst, the money goes anywhere it can. So we should expect a...
GBP CAD bullish Head and shoulder pattern and Cup pattern together. when broken this resistance Buying will be strong
Cont KC Wheat - Weekly: Some indecision the past few weeks with price action working above the Blue Tenkan and below the red Kijun lines. Upside targets remain at 8.75 to 8.92. A breakout above the 8.92 high has targets up to 9.84. Support is 7.43 with further retracements at 7.07 and 6.51.
March Soybeans - Daily: Trying to measure upside targets on beans seams futile on a daily scale….. But we try From the May21’ Swing high at 14.45 to the Nov21 Swing low at 11.93, March22 Beans filled the recent target at 16.01. On the more precise scale on the right, we look at the consolidation before Monday’s gap higher to measure a primary target at 15.86...
Soybean – Weekly Cont: Price accelerated from the 50% retracement and resistance level at 14.24 up past the cloud and quickly filled the next primary target at 16.12. Last spring beans spent a few weeks above 15.75, but with light volume. No telling if beans will chop around into a consolidation pattern to give us time to better guess a direction, or if it...
Looking at the same parameters as we did for the Corn: I didn’t show a 200% or 300% rate of change as I did with Corn. Instead I show that it would take a 107% rate of change to match the 2012’s 17.89 high. **A 200% gain would place Beans in the mid $20’s….
Corn – Weekly Cont: Price action working above the supportive Cloud, blue Tenkan line, and downtrend line. Target above at 6.84. Primary target at 7.08 and then last year’s high at 7.35. ** 162% retracement target at 8.82 **
**Please do not take this as a projection or extreme bullish stance. This Market is sensitive to major up and down moves that will eventually leave many surprised by the high and the low it will leave behind. The quarterly chart shows extreme highs being made in the past 50 years. The current Corn market shares some similarities with the 06’-08 and the...
You can see that price action soared way above the Linear Regression Indicator this week and has been on a tear for many weeks just going to the moon. I am waiting for price action to finally come down - today it started but I'm not sure when I will short this trade. Next week will be the earliest but it might be March. You can see this is the weekly chart so...
I think there is no volume but I think it's time to sell
SB1! (SUGAR) is bullish. We are going for the Intermediate 5th of Primary C of the cycle be. For now, the target area is roughly $23.43 to $$24.80 which is 50% and 61.8% of fibo. This is the commodity market and in a commodity market, the 5th wave can be extended. For now invalidation level is $17.60 which is the 4th wave for now. DISCLOSURE - Please be informed...
LSE:COFF WisdomTree Coffee is designed to enable investors to gain an exposure to a total return investment in coffee by tracking the Bloomberg Coffee Subindex (the "Index") and providing a collateral yield. WisdomTree Coffee is an exchange traded commodity ("ETC"). Its securities can be created and redeemed on demand by authorised participants and traded on...