After forming a somewhat imperfect rising wedge, a bearish breakout confirmed.
Flash crash yesterday across equity markets pushed bonds higher for a brief reprieve in what has been a one way trend since september 2017. The low set in place yesterday came in at the bottom of the schiff pitchfork level & the current spike higher being capped at it's .382 level. Circled upside level is the .382 retrace off sept 2017 -> feb 2018, the .382 2007...
Relief rally after a lot of selling
Bund is hovering really nicely above major support at 160.40 (Fibonacci extension, Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support) and a bounce could occur at this level. If price breaks through our descending resistance line, this would add much more conviction to the potential bounce up to 161.88 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap...
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DAILY - Double NR7 is making T-Bonds look like there is a shorterm top in place. Trend is still up. Price > 20 (155'01),50,100,200 DMA, with all but the 200 in a positive slope. Strong moving average convergence in the 154'24-155'02 area. Looking to buy a pullback. Long end has been strong with the flattening of the yield curve, this is the current macro trend,...
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The European currency made piece with the US dollar for several days maintaining relative equilibrium around 1.14. Two major rivals suspend struggle amid a leveling yield curve in the German and US bond markets. Talking heads optimism over global growth momentum caused investors to dampen low-yield bonds while the release of the weak report of the NFP and Fed...
US1 is completing an eventual Cypher pattern and soon will be ready for another leg up. Notice a bullish divergence on a weekly timeframe: such a big timeframe indicates this last leg up will be important and will take some months to develop. But on overall return, in my opinion, it will be one of the best trades of next year. Notice as well that, despite having...
FLOT Ishares Floating Rate Bond Etf 0.16% 0.32% 50.89 50.38 0.00% 50.84 Buy Strong Buy 50.85 768.111K DRIP Direxion Daily S&p Oil Services Bear 3x Shares 43.89% -9.72% 54.75 10.28 -0.99% 17.92 Buy Strong Buy 19.08 779.961K CHKP Check Point Software Tech Ltd 6.54% 32.90% 104.64 74.34 0.30% 103.05 Buy Strong Buy 103.41 1.036M EL Lauder Estee Cos...
Technically speaking The ~116 level contains a confluence of support. The trendline going back to 2011 and the low prints going back to 2015 should provide support. We shall see. On the updside, 128 is the first level of resistance. What to do? I will be looking to dips around the 116 level, targeting a move back toward 128. My willingness to buy will depend...
Just look, study and begin to see. If you know the rules about Action/Reaction, about the Forks, you have a better sense what potentially could happen when price reaches the centerline, or breaks out of the U-MLH and comes back ("overshoot" - "back to centerline" in pink). Follow each bar, from left to right...slowly...think about what's going on bevor going to...
We are getting the beginnings of our Harmonic Breakout to upside this AM. Targets Shown on Chart.
Daily Harmonic View on Long Bond in 2nd Day of Yellen Testimony tending long here with stop below 149'30
The Case for annual markup. im not an artist. thoughts :)