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Decoding Reversals: Technical Analysis of ONGC: Educational postEDUCATIONAL POST Technical Analysis of ONGC Stock This post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. In this post, we'll analyze the ONGC stock chart using technical indicators. Key Points: 1. Bullish Divergence: Price and MACD are diverging, indicating a potential reversal. 2. Bullish Divergence: Price and RSI are also diverging, supporting the reversal idea. 3. Resistance Breakout: The stock has broken through a key resistance level with strong volume. 4. MACD Turns Positive: MACD has turned positive after the breakout, confirming the reversal. 5. Elliott Wave Counts: Wave counts suggest a potential reversal. What to Expect: Based on these indicators, we can see a potential reversal in ONGC's stock price. It may retrace to Fibonacci levels (50-61.8%) before continuing upward. Conclusion: This post is meant to illustrate how technical indicators can be used to analyze a stock chart. Please do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:ONGCEducation
by RK_Chaarts
Ascending Triangle in Nikkei/Yen Futures: A 2025 Bullish Setup?1. Introduction The Nikkei/Yen Futures, a crucial instrument for traders aiming to capture movements in Japan’s equity index and its currency dynamics, presents an intriguing setup as we step into 2025. An ascending triangle pattern, a classic bullish formation, is emerging on the chart, signaling a potential breakout to the upside. Adding to the technical allure is the depletion of sell unfilled orders (UFOs) within a significant price zone between 40,420 and 39,685. This critical area, revisited six times since late July 2024, has seen a steady reduction of unfilled sell orders, opening the possibility for bullish momentum to dominate. With the price currently hovering near the 39,685 level, the stage appears set for a breakout opportunity. 2. The Technical Setup The ascending triangle, characterized by a series of higher lows converging toward a horizontal resistance level, often signifies bullish pressure. In the case of the Nikkei/Yen Futures, the horizontal resistance resides near 39,685, the lower boundary of a key sell UFO zone. This resistance has been tested repeatedly since July 2024, with each revisit chipping away at the sell orders within the zone. Such behavior suggests diminishing selling pressure, setting the foundation for a breakout. The anticipated target for this breakout, calculated using Fibonacci projection, is set at 41,380—aligning with historical price action and technical projections. Key Contract Specifications: o Regular Nikkei/Yen Futures (NIY1!) Contract Size: ¥500 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥2,500 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 1,500,000 JPY o Micro Nikkei/Yen Futures (MNI) Contract Size: ¥50 x Nikkei 225 index Tick Size: ¥5 Point Value: ¥250 Margin Requirement: Approx. $ 150,000 JPY These details ensure accessibility for both institutional and retail traders, with the micro contract enabling smaller capital commitments while maintaining exposure to the same underlying asset. 3. Forward-Looking Trade Plan The technical evidence supports a bullish trade plan for Nikkei/Yen Futures: Trade Direction: Long Entry Price: Above 39,685, confirming a breakout from the resistance level. Target Price: 41,380, based on Fibonacci projections. Stop Loss: 39,120, targeting a 3:1 reward-to-risk ratio to manage risk effectively. Reward-to-Risk Ratio: 3:1 (Calculated: 41,380 - 39,685 = 1,695 reward; 39,685 - 39,120 = 565 risk). The trade parameters apply to both the standard and micro contracts, offering flexibility in position sizing. Traders with smaller accounts may opt for the micro contract to manage margin requirements while engaging in this high-potential setup. 4. Importance of Risk Management Risk management remains the cornerstone of any successful trading strategy, particularly when trading leveraged instruments like futures. Here are key considerations for managing risk in the Nikkei/Yen Futures trade setup: Stop-Loss Orders: Placing a stop-loss at 39,120 ensures a predefined risk level, protecting traders from unexpected market reversals. It’s vital to adhere to this level to maintain discipline and avoid emotional decision-making. Position Sizing: The availability of micro contracts (MNIY1!) allows traders to tailor their position size according to their account size and risk tolerance. For example, trading one micro contract involves a significantly smaller margin commitment compared to the regular contract, making it suitable for retail traders. Defined Risk Exposure: Leveraged products like futures can lead to substantial losses if risk is not clearly defined. Using stop-loss orders and trading within calculated risk parameters prevents the potential for undefined losses. Precise Entries and Exits: Setting the entry above 39,685 ensures a systematic approach to triggering the trade based on the expected breakout. Similarly, targeting 41,380 using Fibonacci projections ensures that profit objectives align with technical analysis rather than arbitrary levels. By prioritizing these aspects, traders can mitigate risks while maximizing the potential reward from this bullish setup. 5. Closing Remarks The Nikkei/Yen Futures seem to be poised for a potential breakout as we enter 2025, driven by a combination of technical factors and diminishing sell-side unfilled orders. The ascending triangle formation strengthens the bullish bias, with the calculated Fibonacci projection of 41,380 offering an attractive target. Both the standard and micro contracts cater to different trader profiles, allowing participation regardless of account size. As the price approaches the critical 39,685 level, traders are encouraged to stay vigilant, using real-time CME data to track developments and validate entry triggers. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CME:NIY1!Education
by traddictiv
Master High-Probability Breakouts with the GOLDEN Trading SystemWelcome to the GOLDEN Trading System (GTS) – a custom-designed strategy tailored for traders seeking high-probability breakout opportunities. Built on the foundation of TradingView's powerful indicators, GTS focuses on leveraging Camarilla Pivot Levels (H3-H4 and L3-L4) to spot and act on potential market trends. Whether you're a beginner or an experienced trader, this system simplifies the complexity of technical analysis, giving you an edge in the markets. Core Elements of the Strategy. 1. Key Levels to Watch: Green Band (H3-H4): Represents a resistance zone where bullish breakouts are likely to occur. A confirmed breakout above H4 often leads to a strong upward trend. Red Band (L3-L4): Acts as a support zone, signaling potential bearish moves when broken. A confirmed breakdown below L4 generally triggers a downward trend. 2. The Breakout Concept: When the price crosses either of these bands, it indicates a potential shift in market dynamics: Bullish Breakout: Price breaks above the Green Band, suggesting buyers have gained control. Bearish Breakout: Price breaks below the Red Band, signaling sellers have the upper hand. Why This Strategy Works? High Probability: Camarilla Pivot Levels are widely respected by traders, making breakouts from these zones more reliable. Trend Confirmation: The system minimizes false signals by focusing on specific breakout levels instead of broader zones. Clear Entry/Exit Points: You can easily determine when to enter a trade and set stop-loss or take-profit levels. How to Use the GOLDEN Trading System? Identify the Bands: Look for the Green Band (H3-H4) and Red Band (L3-L4) on your chart. Watch for Breakouts: Enter a long position when the price closes decisively above the Green Band (H4). Enter a short position when the price closes decisively below the Red Band (L4). Manage Your Risk: Use the opposite band (L3 or H3) as a stop-loss level to protect your trade. Consider trailing your stop-loss as the trend progresses. Add Confirmation: For greater accuracy, combine this strategy with other tools such as volume spikes, candlestick patterns, or higher timeframe trend analysis. Case Study Example: Take a closer look at the chart provided: The price broke below the Red Band (L3-L4), confirming a bearish breakout. Post-breakout, the price continued its downtrend, offering a high-reward opportunity for short-sellers. By adhering to the system's clear breakout rules, you could have entered the trade early and capitalized on the trend with confidence. Benefits of the GOLDEN Trading System: Simplicity: Focuses on straightforward rules, making it beginner-friendly. Consistency: Reduces emotional trading by adhering to defined breakout zones. Scalability: Works across multiple timeframes and markets, including indices, stocks, and commodities. Pro Tip for Advanced Traders: Combine GTS with volume analysis, RSI divergence, or moving averages to add layers of confirmation to your trades. This helps filter out false breakouts and improves your win rate. Join the GTS movement and elevate your trading game today! Share your feedback, results, and tweaks to make the strategy even better. Happy trading! 🚀
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by thejamiul
Catching Dips any Coin with Spiderline !The Spiderline is a concept in cryptocurrency that refers to a specific strategy or indicator used in technical analysis to identify key support and resistance levels on the price charts of crypto assets, particularly Bitcoin. This concept is based on retracement levels or structures calculated from historical market data. Here are the key points to understand the Spiderline: Origin: It is often used by experienced traders to visualize critical zones where the price has historically reacted (bounced or been rejected). These zones are derived from specific lines on the charts based on previous Bitcoin price movements. Usefulness: - Identify support levels: where the price could stop during a decline. - Determine resistance zones: where the price might struggle to move higher. - It also helps plan entry and exit points based on the likelihood of market reactions. Differences from traditional indicators: Unlike tools like moving averages or the Relative Strength Index (RSI), the Spiderline is more specific to Bitcoin's historical behavior and is often used over longer timeframes. Associated strategy: Traders use it to refine their buying or selling decisions, avoid trading against strong trends, and manage their risk effectively. Credit Inspired by #Cryptoface
Education
by paullefebre92
2
Breakout Signals via Asymmetrical AveragingSpecial Application of Average Bullish & Bearish Percentage Change Indicator INDICATOR AVERAGES BULLISH AND BEARISH VOLATILITY SEPARATELY THROUGH THEIR NATIVE PAST CANDLE COUNT. NOT PERIODICALLY! Asymmetrical averaging is a versatile technique that involves assigning different lengths for independent averaging of opposite market forces. This adaptability uncovers high-probability breakout signals by establishing a threshold that filters out irrelevant fluctuations. Below, I illustrated 2 practical examples of the method applied to bullish and bearish breakout scenarios: Bullish Breakout Example: Set the bullish averaging to 30 and the bearish averaging to 1000. If the bullish average consistently surpasses the bearish threshold, it indicates robust buying momentum and a potential breakout to the upside. The extreme bearish average establishes a consistent baseline, filtering out short-term fluctuations and focusing on significant upward momentum to deliver reliable bullish breakout signals. Bearish Breakout Example: Set the bearish averaging to 30 and the bullish averaging to 1000. If the bearish average rises above the bullish threshold, it signals growing selling pressure and a potential breakout to the downside. The extreme bullish average provides a steady reference point, eliminating minor fluctuations and isolating significant downward momentum for dependable bearish breakout signals. LINK TO THE INDICATOR:
BITSTAMP:ETHUSDEducation
by fract
1
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: Ready to Strangle a BreakoutIntroduction: Why Natural Gas is Poised for Volatility Natural Gas markets are showing signs of a potential volatility surge as recent data from the United States Natural Gas Stocks Change (USNGSC) displays a rare narrowing of the 21-day Bollinger Bands®. This technical setup often precedes sharp market moves, suggesting an upcoming breakout. Given the importance of fundamental shifts in natural gas inventory data, any unexpected change in USNGSC could significantly impact Natural Gas Futures (NG1!), leading to price movements in either direction. This Options Blueprint Series explores a strategy to capitalize on this anticipated volatility: the Long Strangle Strategy. By setting up positions that profit from sharp directional moves, traders may capture gains regardless of the direction in which the price moves. Understanding the Long Strangle Strategy A Long Strangle involves purchasing a call option at a higher strike price and a put option at a lower strike price. This setup allows traders to profit from significant price movements in either direction. The chosen strategy for this analysis includes: Expiration: February 25, 2025 Strikes: 2.5 put at 0.28 and 2.7 call at 0.29 This setup is ideal for capturing potential breakouts, with limited risk equal to the total premium paid. Unlike directional trades, a Long Strangle does not require forecasting the direction of the move, only that a substantial price change occurs before expiration. Technical Analysis with Bollinger Bands® The 21-day Bollinger Bands® applied to USNGSC have narrowed significantly, often an indicator that the market is building up pressure for a breakout. Historically, this type of setup in fundamental data can drive volatility in Natural Gas Futures. When the Bollinger Bands® width narrows, it indicates reduced variability and increased potential for data changes, awaiting release. Once volatility resumes, a dramatic shift can occur. This technical insight provides a solid foundation for the Long Strangle Strategy, aligning the timing of options with the potential for amplified price movement in Natural Gas. Contract Specifications for Natural Gas Futures To effectively plan and manage risk in this trade, it’s crucial to understand the contract details and margin requirements for Natural Gas Futures (NG). o Standard Natural Gas Futures Contract (NG): Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $10 per tick. o Micro Natural Gas Futures Contract (optional alternative for smaller exposure): Minimum Price Fluctuation: $0.001 per MMBtu or $1.00 per tick. Margin Requirements The current margin requirement for a single NG futures contract generally falls around $2,500 but may vary with market conditions. $250 per contract for Micro Natural Gas Futures. Trade Plan for the Long Strangle The Long Strangle strategy on Natural Gas involves buying both a put and a call option to capture significant price movements in either direction. Here’s how the trade is set up: o Expiration: February 25, 2025 o Strikes: Long 2.5 Put at 0.28 ($2,800) Long 2.7 Call at 0.29 ($2,900) o Cost Basis: The total premium paid for the strangle is 0.57 (0.28 + 0.29) = $5,700 per strangle position. Profit Potential Profits increase as Natural Gas moves sharply above the 2.7 call strike or below the 2.5 put strike, accounting for the 0.57 premium paid. With substantial price movement, gains on one option can offset the total premium and yield significant returns. Risk Maximum risk is confined to the total premium paid ($5,700), making this a capped-risk trade. Reward-to-Risk Analysis Reward potential is substantial to the upside and downside, limited only by the extent of the price move, while risk is capped at the initial premium cost. Risk Management and Trade Monitoring Effective risk management is key to successfully executing a Long Strangle strategy, particularly when anticipating heightened volatility in Natural Gas. Here are the critical aspects of managing this trade: Defined Risk with Prepaid Premiums: The maximum risk is predetermined and limited to the initial premium paid, which helps manage potential losses in volatile markets. Importance of Position Sizing: Sizing positions appropriately can help balance exposure across a portfolio and reduce excessive risk concentration in a single asset. Using Micro Natural Futures would help to reduce size and risk by a factor of 10 (from $5,700 down to $570 per strangle). Optional Stop-Loss: As the risk is confined to the premium, no stop-loss orders are required. Exit Strategies For a Long Strangle to yield substantial returns, timing the exit is crucial. Here are potential exit scenarios for this strategy: Profit-Taking Before Expiration: If Natural Gas experiences a significant price swing before the February expiration, consider taking profits which would further reduce the exposure to premium decay. Holding to Expiration: Alternatively, traders can hold both options to expiration if they anticipate further volatility or an extended price trend. Continuous Monitoring: The effectiveness of this strategy is closely tied to the persistence of volatility in Natural Gas. Keep an eye on Fundamental Updates in USNGSC as any unexpected changes in natural gas stocks data can lead to sharp price adjustments, increasing the potential for profitability. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
NYMEX:NG1!Education
by traddictiv
Options Blueprint Series [Basic]: H&S amid Surging Wheat Supply1. Introduction: Bearish Opportunity in Wheat amid Rising Supply With the U.S. Grain Stocks Wheat (USGSW) report showing a notable rise in wheat stock levels, a bearish scenario is unfolding for wheat futures. This increase in supply, which could drive prices downward, aligns with a technical setup showing potential for a bearish breakout. From a technical perspective, Wheat futures exhibit a Complex Head and Shoulders formation, signaling a possible breakdown as prices approach a critical support level. By combining the supply dynamics and technical formation, this article outlines a Bear Put Spread strategy, ideal for capitalizing on this bearish outlook with limited risk. 2. Fundamental Analysis: Rising Wheat Stock Levels The most recent USGSW report has recorded wheat stock levels breaking upward to 1.98 billion bushels, up from the previous level of 1.779 billion bushels. This shift indicates a higher supply of wheat available in the market, which, in the absence of proportional demand, typically should result in price pressure to the downside. Higher wheat stock levels often dampen demand sentiment, as markets anticipate reduced scarcity and increased availability. Such fundamentals offer a conducive backdrop for a bearish approach, supporting the downside breakout anticipated in the technical setup. 3. Technical Analysis: Complex Head and Shoulders Formation The technical landscape for Wheat futures supports the bearish case, with a Complex Head and Shoulders pattern forming on the chart. This pattern is characterized by multiple peaks (heads) flanked by smaller peaks (shoulders), indicating a potential reversal from recent highs. The critical neckline for this formation sits at 585'6. A break below this level would signal the likelihood of further downside movement. The target for this setup aligns with a UFO support zone at 552'4, which serves as an optimal price point to close the trade if the breakout confirms. 4. Trade Setup: Bear Put Spread on Wheat Futures (Ticker: ZWH2025) To capitalize on the bearish setup, a Bear Put Spread is employed. This strategy allows for limited downside risk while still offering attractive profit potential. Here are the specifics: o Contract Details for ZWH2025 (Wheat Futures): Contract Size: 5,000 bushels Tick Size: 1/4 of one cent (0.0025) per bushel (equivalent to $12.50 per tick) Point value of 1 future unit: $50 Point value of 1 option unit: $50 Expiration: December 27, 2024 Margin Requirement: While the exact margin depends on the broker, the requirement typically ranges between $1,500 and $2,000 per futures contract. The margin for a Bear Put Spread in Wheat futures options is limited to the debit paid (15.2 points *$50 = $760). o Options Strategy: Bear Put Spread Buy the 585 put option at 25.84 and Sell the 550 put option at 10.64, both expiring on December 27, 2024. The net debit paid is 25.84 – 10.64 = 15.2 points = $760 This spread provides a capped-risk opportunity for profiting from a downside move in Wheat futures. o Risk Management: While stop loss orders can be used, no stop loss is required given the limited-risk nature of the Bear Put Spread. The maximum potential loss is predefined by the cost of the spread. 5. Options Risk Profile Analysis The Bear Put Spread strategy involves buying a put option at a higher strike price (585) and selling a put option at a lower strike price (550). This configuration: Maximizes potential profit if Wheat futures drop to or below the 550 level by expiration. Caps maximum loss at the initial cost of the spread, regardless of how the underlying Wheat futures move. For this setup, the maximum potential profit is the difference between the strikes (585 - 550) minus the premium paid = 19.80 ($990). The maximum potential loss is the cost of the spread, making it a controlled-risk strategy suited to volatile or downward-trending markets. 6. Trade Execution Plan Entry: Initiate the Bear Put Spread as Wheat futures break below the 585'6 neckline, confirming the downside breakout. Target: Close the trade at 552'4, which aligns with a nearby UFO support zone, marking a logical exit point. 7. Risk Management Considerations Effective risk management is essential in any options strategy, and the Bear Put Spread inherently offers several risk control advantages: Limited Risk: By buying a put and selling a lower-strike put, the Bear Put Spread creates a defined risk position, capping potential losses at the initial premium paid for the spread. No Stop Loss Required: With maximum risk predetermined by the cost of the spread, there's no need for a stop loss, which could otherwise be triggered prematurely in a volatile market. Predefined Entry and Exit: This strategy's effectiveness hinges on precise entry (below the 585'6 neckline) and a clear target at 552'4. By maintaining these predefined parameters, the trade maximizes its alignment with both technical and fundamental setups. This trade setup offers a balanced approach, allowing for downside exposure with risk under control, making it well-suited for periods of volatility or substantial downward moves. When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies. Also, some of the calculations and analytics used in this article have been derived using the QuikStrike® tool available on the CME Group website. General Disclaimer: The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
CBOT:ZWH2025Education
by traddictiv
2
How To Trade Off Liquidity Levels Following A Structure BreakoutGrasping how to trade around liquidity levels is crucial. The fundamentals of technical analysis revolve around identifying and leveraging these points. One common mistake that new traders make is not choosing the right price levels for trades. This can lead to inadequate risk-reward setups and inconsistency in trading results. What Are Liquidity Levels? For large institutions and traders needing to execute substantial orders, locating sufficient liquidity is vital. A market’s liquidity significantly influences price volatility. When major players enter the market, they aim to achieve the best possible prices. However, due to the size of their orders, they need ample counter-orders to fill their trades while minimizing slippage. If a trader attempts to enter a position in a low-liquidity area, the resulting volatility can negatively impact their average entry price. Conversely, entering at a high-liquidity level usually means less price fluctuation, leading to a more favorable average price. So, where can you find these liquidity levels? Look at where stop-loss orders are likely placed. This is where the concept of “stop-loss hunting” comes from—large players need liquidity to accumulate significant positions, which makes these areas of interest since they help reduce slippage. A liquidity level arises from an initial imbalance in supply and demand, forming what we know as swing highs or lows. As more traders take positions, these levels become historical reference points for placing stops. When these levels are revisited, a decision point occurs, leading to either a breakout or a reversal. A useful guideline is to watch for rejections that don’t reach a 50% retracement of the previous high or low, as this might indicate a lower-quality liquidity level. Strong rejections tend to indicate better chances of holding during retests. I personally look for rejections that result in a breakout into new highs or lows. Other factors, such as market conditions (risk-on/risk-off), broader market structure, and relevant economic data, also play a crucial role in assessing whether a level will hold. Trading EUR/USD Using Liquidity Levels To illustrate how to identify potential buying or selling opportunities based on liquidity levels, draw a horizontal line from the latest wick or swing high/low and extend it until it meets price again. In the EUR/USD hourly chart example below, I selected a month’s worth of data, marking blue lines for liquidity levels that led to market structure breakouts (higher highs or lower lows) and red lines for levels where retests failed to break the structure. I recommend a strategy of targeting a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, setting stop-loss orders at half the size of the previous swing, moving to break even at 1:1. By the end of this exercise, it should be clear that trading on liquidity levels with a breakout condition (blue lines) significantly increases your chances of success compared to trades that go against the prevailing market structure (red lines). If you focused solely on the blue levels, you might have experienced 6 winning trades and only 1 loss at a 2:1 risk-reward ratio. By combining this approach with additional factors like aligning with higher timeframe cycles, considering fundamental analysis, and practicing disciplined risk management, you may find this strategy aligns with your trading style. I encourage you to explore this methodology through your own backtesting and see how it can enhance your trading arsenal.
Education
by TaylorDeMario
Navigating the Waves: Elliott Wave Theory and Key IndicatorsEducational Technical Analysis on example chart of UFO Moviez India Elliott Wave Analysis and Key Moving Averages Disclaimer This study is for educational purposes only and does not constitute trading or investment advice. The analysis presented focuses on one potential scenario based on Elliott Wave Theory and other technical indicators. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any decisions. Introduction to Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that traders use to analyze financial market cycles and forecast market trends by identifying extremes in investor psychology, highs and lows in prices, and other collective activities. The theory posits that stock prices move in predictable patterns or "waves" based on investor sentiment. Principles of Elliott Wave Theory 1. Wave Patterns: According to Elliott, market prices move in five waves in the direction of the main trend (impulse waves) and three waves in a correction against the main trend (corrective waves). 2. Wave Degrees: Waves are fractal in nature, meaning that smaller waves form part of larger waves, and this pattern repeats on all time frames. 3. Wave Characteristics: - Wave 1: Usually the smallest impulse wave. - Wave 2: Corrects Wave 1 but does not exceed its starting point. - Wave 3: Typically the strongest and longest wave. - Wave 4: Corrective wave that is usually less severe. - Wave 5: Final leg in the direction of the main trend. Current Analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India Based on the chart and Elliott Wave Theory, UFO Moviez India is currently suggesting an impulsive and momentum-driven 3rd of the 3rd wave ahead, with an invalidation level at 106. Key Observations: 1. Wave Count: - Wave (1): An initial 5-wave impulse has completed. - Wave (2): A corrective ABC pattern. - Wave (3): Currently unfolding with sub-waves i, ii, iii, iv, and v marked. - Wave 3: In the larger context is forming. 2. Breakout: - There is a breakout above the downward trendline with good volumes, indicating strong bullish momentum. 3. Key Moving Averages: - Price Trading Above: - 50 EMA, 100 EMA, and 200 EMA - 50 WEMA, 100 WEMA, and 200 WEMA - Crossed above 20 MMA Technical Indicators and Levels - Price: 148.54 INR (as of the latest close) - Support Levels: - Nearest Invalidation Level: 106 INR - Major Support: 57.20 INR - Resistance Levels: - Immediate Target: 175.58 INR (Wave 1 of larger degree) - Fibonacci Extension Target: 220.51 INR (1.618 extension of Wave 1) Conclusion The Elliott Wave analysis of example chart of UFO Moviez India indicates a potentially strong bullish trend as the stock is in the 3rd wave of a larger impulse. The breakout above the trendline with significant volume further supports this bullish outlook. However, it is crucial to monitor the invalidation level at 106 INR, as a break below this level could invalidate the current wave count and suggest a different scenario. Educational Purpose Notice This analysis is provided for educational purposes only. It is not an investment or trading advice or tip. Trading and investing in financial markets involve risk, and it is important to do thorough research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:UFOEducation
by RK_Chaarts
2
Charting with Elliott WavesUnderstanding how to do Technical Analysis of any chart based on Elliott Waves This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as trading advice. Multiple scenarios are possible in the real market, and there is a risk of being wrong. It is essential to consult with a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. We are not responsible for any profits or losses incurred based on this analysis. Wave Rules: Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. Wave 3 is never the shortest wave. Wave 4 should not overlap with Wave 1's price territory, except in diagonal triangles. Applying Elliott Wave Theory Elliott Wave Theory is a powerful tool for traders, but it requires practice and a deep understanding of market psychology. By analyzing wave patterns, degrees, and Fibonacci relationships, traders can gain insights into potential market trends and make informed trading decisions. It is important to combine Elliott Wave analysis with other technical indicators and risk management strategies to enhance the accuracy and reliability of market forecasts. Elliott Wave Theory provides a comprehensive framework for understanding market cycles and predicting price movements. By mastering its principles and applying them with discipline, traders can enhance their ability to navigate the financial markets and capitalize on emerging trends. Let's understand study of this chart Current Wave Structure Primary Wave Count: - The chart illustrates a completed five-wave impulse sequence (1-2-3-4-5) followed by a corrective phase. - The primary impulse wave (labeled in red) has completed its cycle, marked by a significant peak at Wave 5. - The subsequent corrective wave (labeled in blue as (4)) has also completed, indicating a potential beginning of a new impulse sequence. Subwave Count: - The internal structure of the primary waves shows clear subwaves, especially within the third wave, which is typically the strongest and longest. - The chart depicts detailed labeling of smaller degree waves (i-ii-iii-iv-v), ensuring adherence to Elliott Wave principles. Recent Breakout Analysis Breakout Confirmation: - Recently, the price has broken out from a consolidation zone, supported by increased trading volumes. This is a positive sign indicating strong market interest and momentum. - The breakout occurred after the price retested the previous resistance level, which now acts as a support. This successful retest enhances the credibility of the breakout. Future Projections Impulsive Bias: - Based on the wave structure, the stock appears to be in the early stages of a new impulse wave. This suggests a bullish outlook with potential for significant upward movement. - The immediate target for this impulse wave is the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level at INR 2,976.60, aligning with typical Elliott Wave projections for Wave 3. Invalidation Level: - The nearest invalidation level for this bullish scenario is marked at INR 1,651.40. A break below this level would suggest a re-evaluation of the wave count and the current bullish bias. Conclusion The technical analysis of Dalmia Bharat Ltd. indicates a favorable outlook for continued upward movement, supported by a clear Elliott Wave structure and recent breakout confirmation with good volume. However, traders should monitor the invalidation level closely. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:DALBHARATEducation
by RK_Chaarts
HOW-TO: Cyato Bands █  Overview Welcome to the getting started page dedicated to my automated trading strategy Cyatophilum Bands, which is in continuous development. The strategy principle is to identify consolidation areas, catch breakouts and ride the trend as long as possible. █  Trade examples Breakout from Tight Consolidation Price consolidates within a narrow range and identifies the breakout point. False Breakout Avoidance Filter out noise from the market by incorporating volume, trend and range filters. Multi-Timeframe Analysis Set the Bands time frame higher than the current chart to perform MTF analysis. Reversal Confirmation In the strategy direction settings, you can choose to go long, short or both. Profitable Trend Continuation A cool feature the take profit has is that it gets disabled when the trend is strong and clear, allowing to play safe in a ranging market, while maximizing profits in strong trends. █  Indicator settings Bands Settings The band configuration settings allow you to create any kind of band, my favorite is the Donchian channels, but you can also create Bollinger and Kelter kinds of bands. Filter Settings The entry is triggered by a band breakout, but only that is not enough to create a solid strategy. Adjust the consolidation area, set a volume, range and trend filter to strengthen your entry. Stop Loss Settings Easily create a stop loss system using %, ATR, pips or AUTO calculation modes. Add a trailing stop using ATR or Classic modes. (more modes can be added upon request) Take Profit Settings Set a take profit system using also different modes and the amazing feature to disable take profit during strong trends. Backtest Settings Backtest quickly using the information panel. See if you beat buy and hold and ATH buy and hold, as well as other stats like daily return. █  Backtesting results & preconfigured charts BTC/USDT Snapshot: Chart : www.tradingview.com (Access Required) ETH/USDT Snapshot: Chart : www.tradingview.com (Access Required) BNB/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com (Access Required) SOL/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com (Access Required) ADA/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com AVAX/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com LINK/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com MATIC/USDT Snapshot: Chart: www.tradingview.com IMX/USDT Chart: www.tradingview.com █ SCRIPT ACCESS Indicator and automation tools access can be purchased on my website. Links in my signature below.
Education
by cyatophilum
Inverted Head and Shoulders: A Comprehensive GuideThe Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a popular and reliable reversal pattern that signals a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. Understanding and identifying this pattern can provide traders with profitable trading opportunities. Anatomy of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern. Left Shoulder: The price declines to a trough and subsequently rises. Head: The price falls again, forming a lower trough. Right Shoulder : The price rises once more before declining to a trough similar to the left shoulder. Identifying the Pattern To accurately identify an Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern, look for the following characteristics: Three Troughs: The head should be the lowest point, with the two shoulders on either side. Neckline: Draw a trendline connecting the peaks of the two shoulders. This line acts as a resistance level. Breakout Confirmation The pattern is confirmed once the price breaks above the neckline with increased volume. This breakout indicates a reversal of the previous downtrend and the start of a new uptrend. Trading the Inverted Head and Shoulders Entry Point Enter a long position when the price closes above the neckline. To reduce false breakouts, consider waiting for a retest of the neckline as support. Stop-Loss Place the stop-loss order below the right shoulder to limit potential losses. This level provides a cushion against false breakouts and unexpected market movements. Target Price The target price can be estimated by measuring the distance from the head to the neckline and projecting this distance upward from the breakout point. Example: Example Reference image of chart ONGC on Daily Time Frame shared below Distance from Head to Neckline: 62 points Breakout Point: 280 points Target Price: 342 points Practical Example of ONGC chart The neckline is drawn connecting the two peaks at 280 level. A breakout occurs at 280 level with increased volume and now candle closed bullish at 288 levels with Good intensity of Volumes. Key Points to Remember Volume: Volume should increase during the formation of the pattern, especially at the breakout point. Timeframe: The pattern can form over various timeframes, but it is more reliable over longer periods. Market Context: Always consider the broader market context and other technical indicators to confirm the pattern. Conclusion The Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is a powerful tool for traders looking to capitalize on trend reversals. By understanding its structure and applying disciplined trading strategies, traders can enhance their ability to identify and profit from these patterns. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Happy Trading! RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
NSE:ONGCEducation
by RK_Chaarts
2
XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
XAUUSD 15M - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
XAUUSD 1H - Consolidations Trading Setups - C.I.R.C. MethodThe chart above showcases various consolidations and their formation dynamics. Consolidation, Initiation, Retracement, Continuation (CIRC) Consolidations What are “consolidations”? Consolidations, often labeled as “ranges” in mainstream trading, hold a deeper meaning at T.T.T. Here, consolidations are the playgrounds of the BFI, zones where prices oscillate between highs and lows, as illustrated below. Within these confines, intentions simmer as BFI stack orders to propel future price movements. We confidently trade consolidations, fully aware of the intricate dynamics unfolding within the market’s underbelly.
TVC:GOLDEducation
by Anonymous_Analyst
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part XII - 6-4-24 FlagsPart XII I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part XI - SPY Flagging ExamplePart XI I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by BradMatheny
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part X - EOD 2 Min ES RecapPart X - End Of Day 2 Min ES Recap I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by BradMatheny
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part IX - ES Breakdown To SupportPart IX I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by BradMatheny
The Mechanics Of Trading - Part VIII - Learning PatiencePart VIII I started this video because a friend asked me for help determining trends on multi-interval (time frames) and asked how I look at trading across multiple intervals. Asking how to best setup/use price trends to capture the best trade setups. Essentially, it comes down to three key components... A. Initial reversal/impulse waves should be traded lightly (if at all). They are the "potential price reversal setups" that are usually the most dangerous for traders (and often fairly short in length). B. Looking for the second wave to form provides traders with the opportunity to catch the bigger Wave-3. This wave forms after the impulse (Wave-1) and a corrective wave (Wave-2), which must stay below any previous ultimate high or above any previous ultimate low. C. Wave-3, and Wave-5 if applicable, are where traders can flex their muscles related to trade size using the techniques I present to try to capture the MEAT (Sweet Spot) of any trend. Remember, after Wave-3, you must prepare for the potential end of a trend setup where volatility is likely to increase and risks become a bit more elevated. I go over multiple techniques in this video. Fibonacci techniques and Fibonacci Price Theory Anchor Bars (breakaway bars) Using Fibonacci Retracements to identify key support/resistance levels for trending Stochastics RSI Wave formations (ZigZag) and Others This video is designed as an instructional video to help you incorporate usable techniques into your own trading style. Hope you enjoy.
CME_MINI:ES1!Education
by BradMatheny