Breakout
NIFTY50 - Trendline Breakout StrategyWhenever i see a trend-line break , but not a follow-through move, i draw a parallel Trend line to the new low made.
And if the price break this new trend-line, then the chances of price follow through becomes high.
Hence nifty is sell below 8980 levels.
Do not follow blindly, please do your own research.
EURAUD 15M BIG BEN BREAKOUT TRADING STRATEGYRule #1 Define the London Trading Range
We’re going to use the range definition that takes into consideration only the body of the
candles, excluding the wicks.
Note* this trading rule can be adapted as you get more experienced at reading the price action.
This strategy works because the Asia trading range tends to attract buy and sell stops above
and below the trading range.
The bulk of buying and selling stops becomes an easy target for the smart money.
Remember that traders need liquidity to execute their orders.
And, the smart money is always in search of liquidity to fill their large orders. That’s the reason
why the smart money needs to trigger those stops.
Rule #2: The One-Hour before the London Open Needs to Generate the Breakout
Our backtesting results revealed that momentum really starts to pick up 1-hour earlier than the
actual London opening session.
There are some smart ways to trade this burst of momentum.
Let’s see some technical ways to trade the pre-London open.
We don’t need to guess in which way the market will break, we let the market tip his hand and
show us the way.
This is where things get interesting.
Let me explain…
During the London session we’re going to see the most traded volume thus the foreign
exchange market should really take off in one direction or another.
Rule #3 Price needs to fade
Immediately after the London session opens, we want to see the price fading the pre-open
move.
If the move starts fading, we know it was a false breakout.
Smart money has used the pre-open move to trigger the stops above the range and now they
reverse the tie and start selling.
We want to see price pulling back into the range at the same speed as it went up.
Let me explain…
In simple words, the bearish momentum used to produce the false breakout needs to be equal to
the bullish momentum used to fade the pre-open move.
We enter our trade after the first 5-minutes have confirmed that the price is reversing.
Once this trade setup is completed, you should see a price formation that takes the V-shaped
form (or inverse V-shape).
Rule #4 Take Profit or Ride the Trend
We can measure the size of the Asia trading range and project from the top or bottom of
our range to get our profit target.
But, oftentimes this type of setup can lead to a trading day that can extend in the days to come.
Now, in this case, it’s wise if you employ other trading tactics so you can actually profit from this
trend.
In this example, the better take profit strategy would be to use a trailing stop.
You need to be ready to explore other trading methods to manage your trades.
Rule #5 Use a Time Stop Instead of a Price Stop
In order to fade the London breakout, you need to use unconventional trading methods.
In this regard, for our stop loss trading strategy we’re going to use a time stop instead of a price
stop.
The first time I’ve ever heard about the time stop concept was while reading the Market Wizards
book.
Billionaire Hedge Fund manager Paul Tudor Jones one of the greatest traders of our times said:
“When I trade, I don’t just use a price stop, I also use a time stop.”
So, how to apply the time stop to the London strategy?
It’s very simple…
If, in the first hour after the London open the price didn’t COMPLETELY reversed the pre-opening
breakout, we exit the trade.
It’s simple as that, no further explanation is needed.
Trader/Investors must understand this process.......!Kindly comment with " Yes " for agree and "No" for disagree with this post:
Before the break-out, I've informed that " Breakout will give truck of Money. ..!". Exactly, we seen this statement was TRUE, didn't it? (End of idea link is added about this idea)
Let's talk step by step was happened here.
The Width of congestion area was equal to height of the price surged.
From my personal experience and the survey/observation I'm talking about this is almost the same area as price congestion in size of width and height after the price break. Let's try to explain in another words:
Horizontal width of congestion size = Vertical price move after break-out. (Generally, i noted that price moved away so far after breakout whenever congestion area is much longer.)
--> Let's talk little more deeper about CONGESTION area:
In the congestion area, accumulation or distribution process process. We will talk about accumulation only because, this was happened here.
Accumulation : smart money, money makers, huge fund-management, landlord of global investors whatever you called them they grab/connecting instrument(stocks, currency,etc) from retail investors in very slow motion because, they can smell insider upcoming news. After the completing this accumulation, news clear and price start to go away from the breakout area.
later i will try to explain you more deeper about it practically. Yes, obviously we can smell the process accumulation/distribution.
Support And Resistance – The House! EICHERMOTOR.----------------------------------Support And Resistance – The House!----------------------------------
Support and Resistance explanation:
Imagine that you are looking at a vertical cross-section of an "Old fashioned dolls house " which is shown in the schematic. Now you can see all the floors and ceilings in the house, and as you can see here we have a ground floor, first floor, second floor, and roof.
The market then moves lower, having reversed, back to the floor, where it consolidates.
The concept of Support and resistance is important for a number of reasons.
--> First, as we have already seen, a breakout from a consolidation phase can be validated with volume , and if confirmed, provides excellent trading opportunities . The so-called breakout trade s.
It is a WIN/WIN. You have the comfort of knowing that once the market has broken through a ceiling of price resistance, not only does this become a floor of price support, it has also become a barrier of price protection in the event of any short term re-test of this area. Any stop loss, for example, could then be placed in the lower regions of the price congestion. This is why breakout trading is so popular.
SPY - MAGIC SUPPORT/RESISTANCE level - Market will STOP thereHello traders,
after Easter, we share another educational video. Today´s topic is focused on drawing support and resistance levels.
Many traders draw LINES and they think the market will bounce exactly from that level.
The truth is, you can never do that . Instead, it´s better to understand the S/R level as a zone WHERE you can EXPECT some activity.
Nobody cares if the market breaks the trend-line by few points. What really matters is if the breakout was respected or not.
The example is explained in the AMEX:SPY market, which is very well known but you can use this logic in any market.
Have good trading.
FINEIGHT team
Double MA ChannelsSimple strategy using 2 Simple Moving Averages channels, Momentum and ADX with Directional Movement
First Channel:
70, High
70, Low
70, Close
Second Channel:
144, High
144, Low
144, Close
Momentum: 34
ADX: 14, 20
To use this strategy please refer to link related to previous post.
The SMA 144 channel is used to determine the strength of a trend. Kind of like Bollinger Bands, the 144 will move farther or closer to the 70 depending on the strength of the trend. It's goo to tell you if you have incoming consolidation.
MAN AND MONEY vs VIRUS! WHO WILL WIN?The picture of the 2019-nCOV is rapidly evolving. Globally there have been >14,000 cases and >305 deaths. The trajectory of spread of this virus has exceeded SARS (2003).
In under 20 days there are 14,544 cases. There were less than 20 cases in the same period for SARS.
SARS plateaued off at 8,500 cases after 100 days then fell off. What we're seeing in hard evidence is that nCOV is going rapidly exponential - almost doubling in 20 days what SARS reached in 100 days.
8 countries have effectively quarantined China in various ways. AND NOW - China has told everybody to calm down, that it will maintain financial stability and pump their market with USD$173 Billion from Monday 3rd February 2020. The FED and Australia are considering similar moves.
The global economic disruption in what was a 'risk-off' situation, is gonna be serious and probably last well over a year. This doesn't mean that the markets will tank over the next year. It means expect bearish pressure.
Think also about an 'endpoint'. How will anybody know when it is safe to open borders, trade and travel in China?
If the VIX gets above 53 there is serious trouble!
Declarations & Disclaimers: For the avoidance of doubt, this post is only about potential impact of a virus in financial contexts. I take no comfort at all in people suffering and dying. Whilst I am sorry about the human consequences, I deal with the markets as an instrument - like any other. It is not illegal or immoral to exploit the movement of any market for any cause. As usual this is not trading advice. If you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
BURL, Burlington Stores Inc. - Stop Loss on Broadening TriangleNYSE:BURL
It is never a question of being right or wrong, but rather of being too early and being thrown out of the market before the asset's actual direction.
What we need is an event that allows us to systematically decide to enter Long or Short, in our case the patterns of technical analysis.
We are trend-followers and we gain from price movement, so we could call ourselves "Price Change Traders".
In this case the price had triggered our Stop Loss.
Stay Tuned!
How to trade in range/consolidation periodA lot of people asked me what to do in the case when the price is stuck in consolidation.
You can use Fibonacci retracement and create a range (0, 0.25, 0.5, 0.75, 1) and put it from swing low up to swing high. By that, you will create key points where the price will react on during consolidation time.
You can use it on all Timeframes and it does not matter if it is Monthly, Weekly, Daily or minute chart.
As you can see here, price very nicely reacts to each of our levels which we have set up once the range has been established. Also, when the price is stuck in consolidation range you do not want to trade it. Avoid it. You will make many mistakes, rather you should focus on a clear bullish/bearish trend.
SEELEBTC Short SqueezeHello TW community,
This is my take on SEELEBTC. A short squeeze pattern with accelerating trend, and a hint on where to take profits.
Hope you enjoy and get something out of it.
My ideas are for entertainment purpose only and should not be taken as financial advice.
Best of luck,
Eur/Cad breakout educationalTrading breakouts is not only fun and exiting(whether or not it goes your way) but its a great test to keep yourself engaged and focused on the market, as well as the task at hand which is seeking out retests and confirmations for your next breakout play. In this example we can see this pair with gained strength, since picking up momentum from its move up from the 50% region of the range that it was in and has now crossed above range high. Looks great except for the fact that price has yet to react with the resistance level we had broke on the way up. Without proof or confirmation that the level will turn support it would be reckless to place a trade
Confirmation is KEY If you fail to plan you plan to fail, never trade without a map to success.
Hope this helps somebody out there and please feed back is greatly encouraged.
FOXA smashed through using our B.I.T.S Breakout IndicatorQuick video recap of mega long breakout trade on FOXA using our B.I.T.S Breakout Intelligent Breakout Signals Indicator for TradingView.
Original trade idea here on Tradingview can be viewed >>HERE<<
Our B.I.T.S indicator is perfect for instruments that have volume and price action, so Stocks, Futures, Commodities and cryptocurrency
Traps and Liquidity Searches Using Supply And DemandQuestion during my cooking show live stream was how do i determine a trap or a fake out?
First of all i think everyone that trades a different methodology determines a fake out in their
own way depending on their methodology the retail traders trades.
Using the Supply demand methodology i explain how i determine traps.
When i pull up a chart and i see an area that most trading methodologies are looking to buy or sell at.
i.g., support resistance traders, supply demand traders, breakout traders, range based traders,
fake breakout traders and many more different methodologies are looking to buy or sell in a certain area
it's a trap.
If im going to play the trap i need there to be a supply or demand zone above or below
the area where the other retail traders are looking to buy and sell at.