Bitcoin is now next to making the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement test (ATH to 3150 bear cycle Low) and one thing has shocked the crypto world more than anything. The considerably shorter time it has taken BTC to do so compared to the previous two cycles. Few expected such a strong and continuous rebound since the 3150 bottom. Is this right? Since most researchers...
This strong pull back the moment Bitcoin broke the 9000 barrier has many worried. But should we be? In this analysis I point out which levels we need to watch, and if they hold, are able to sustain the aggressive uptrend that started in early February.
First we see that in the course of this Parabolic Rise, every time BTC pulled back from a peak, the Support line...
I have attempted to break down the current 4 month parabola into a strong sequence of patterns and what stands out is the Ascending Triangle.
Before each aggressive bullish candle sequence within the Parabola, BTC consolidated roughly within an Ascending Triangle formation. When that Triangle broke upwards, an aggressive new Top was made.
Assuming that each...
Before claiming that it is pointless comparing Bitcoin to Gold take look at the charts below:
On the first chart, the $9000 mark has been hit purely based on a signal given by the similarities of Bitcoin's price action after its bottom to Gold's respective pattern and the buy signal it gave after the +33.50% bounce. See how smoothly Bitcoin's price action...
This is a quick reflection on Bitcoin's Fibonacci Channel's within its long term parabolic growth curve.
In the two previous cycles, the price touched the -0.382 Fibonacci retracement level before it rebounded. This marked the end of that market's bear cycle and that bottom gave way to the new bull cycle.
This time it hasn't done that (price touching the -0.382...
This is just a quick update on BTC's current stress zones. The outlook after Friday's sell off is a High Volatility zone within 6855 - 7455 where the price is currently consolidating. A high volume break above or below this zone will set the direction for the next 48 hours.
Notice how the supply channel started on April 25th has provided support so far on more...
The markers were there regarding the importance of this first strong Resistance and gave hints on how to trade it:
You were also informed of how parabolas tend to behave during bull cycles:
So now that we have established that trading Bitcoin based on its historic price action isn't all that bad we can start drawing some more meaningful conclusions....
On this analysis I compare Bitcoin's two most recent cycles: the 2014 - 2016 and the current one 2018 - 2019.
What stands out is that even though they both followed the same trend line (i.e. after the peak the bear market followed, a bottom was made on the parabolic curve and then the new bull cycle gradually started), they tend to diverge at some parts, only to...
Much is being discussed over Bitcoin's recent hyper aggressive rise. It is beyond any reasonable doubt that it is a strong confirmation that the new Bull Market has started. Backed by strong fundamentals, this time can be different , more aggressive and unpredictable .
It is interesting however to keep in mind how such parabolic movements typically end up. For...
Bitcoin broke through the final MA barrier (1W MA100) and even crossed over the Historical Parabolic Accumulation Curve. This is a very significant development as it this curve has been used historically as a strong buy zone during the distribution phase before every logarithmic bull run. Doesn't this mean that the new bull market will be even more aggressive...
Well the title says everything so I might as well make this analysis a short one.
BTCUSD is rising aggressively having almost filled the Gap from November 2018, when the final big drop took place. It is now about to test the MA100 (black) on the weekly chart, which is essentially the final bearish barrier before it starts rising and never look back.
If the MA100...
Can Bitcoin and Nikkei, a cryptocurrency and a stock index have something in common? Well not really, fundamentally they are different the market dynamics quite diverse. But as with some previous comparisons of **Bitcoin with Gold** and **Litecoin with Silver** I want to point out how investor psychology can be quite similar over very different asset...
Comparing Bitcoin to Gold?? That can't give you any meaningful trade indication can it?
Well first of all look at the perfect buy signal it gave back in December, which I posted in February, on that +33.50% bounce from the low. Right when everyone was wondering where the bottom was, "Should I buy?", "Is this going to $1000?", "Buying on a bear market, that's...
I could summarize my analysis on the following phrase: "Swing pull back, consolidation and almost $10000 by the end of 2019"!
But I guess that wouldn't be enough as you, like me, want some justification, a technical foundation behind every price movement. And you are right!
So on today's analysis I have used two indicators: the Gaussian Channel and the...
Due to the price difference on exchanges, a lot of the attention lately is being drawn away from what matters most. Is the worst over for BTC? Has the new bull cycle started?
With this as motive, I thought it would be productive to accumulate the strongest long term bullish indicators on Bitcoin. And I have come up with a combination that has never failed on its...
The 1D Channel Up broke yesterday, slightly to the downside. Since the December bottom similar Channel Up pattern have been broke twice. Once it was a bearish break out the other was a sideways break out (which gave way to the April 2nd aggressive jump).
The RSI was too high ( and I have pointed the importance of that on previous posts ) and since the 88.300 High...
Well you can't say you weren't aware that today's red candle was coming. All the signals were there and I tried to put them into context for you:
Either with the 1D RSI
- or -
The 1D MA200
Today is no different and I have another indication showing why I am waiting to buy more lower ahead of the new bull cycle.
On the 1W (weekly) chart, the RSI reached...
Don't tell me I didn't warn you on March 8th about this first break out! The fractal was there:
However, those who missed this week's huge spike on Bitcoin shouldn't worry. Based on the 1D RSI another pull back should be coming soon .
As seen on the chart since the price action crossed over the 200DMA (orange line) during the last bear market (that...
